Opportunity Flags
1- Depth Chart Path
Kansas City added no tight end in the 2026 draft, so Gray remains the unchallenged next man up at TE; any Kelce injury or veteran rest plan would hand him immediate, uncontested volume.
Noah Gray
TE · #56KC · TE · Age 27
SIT
Noah Gray's trailing average target share of just 8% over his last four games signals a limited role in the Kansas City offense.
Role & volume
Gray has seen significant variance in his snap and target shares, with an average snap share of 50.3% but only 8% in targets over his last four games.
Projected role
Our value ranks Gray as the TE43, indicating a player who does not project to be a high-volume contributor or have a significant impact on weekly fantasy outcomes.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his inconsistent usage and low target share, Gray's range is narrow with little upside potential; he offers minimal value as a starter in most formats.
Intel updated: 2 days ago
Current statusKC
Our read vs. the market
BetaBuy-low — we value him above the market
Why
Average usage productionStrong target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
- Touchdown-luck regression
Our view vs Market↑ 25 pts above market
Our view
27
Market
2
TD regression riskThin opportunity shareLow draft pedigree
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)
Format Comparison
Noah Gray — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 620 | — |
| PPR SF | 528 | -92 |