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Noah Fant headshot

Noah Fant

TE · #54

NO · TE · Age 28

Redraft rank
TE53
▲TE53 · Depth+22 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#304
ADP
TE75
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP+22 slots of value
Our rank
TE53
vs
Market ADP
TE75
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
TE75 ADP · +22 slots
Major
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE53 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±42 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-28 tight ends most similar to Noah Fant's 2025 season, 1 finished TE2, 8 finished TE4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

81%
  • TE210%(1)
  • TE4+81%(8)
  • Missed season9%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range3.3 median
1.1p25–p75 2.1–4.56.7
10 most similar players
Geoff Swaim97%
2022·TE73 · 2.2 PPG
Pharaoh Brown94%
2022·TE74 · 3.4 PPG
Nick Vannett92%
2021·TE65 · 4.0 PPG
Eric Saubert92%
2022·TE58 · 3.2 PPG
MyCole Pruitt89%
2020·TE73 · 4.4 PPG
Jonnu Smith89%
2023·TE17 · 8.3 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Noah Fant signed a 2-year, $8.75M deal with New Orleans in March 2026 (confirmed via search), landing as the clear TE2 behind Juwan Johnson, who is coming off a career-best 77-889 season under Kellen Moore's offense. The Saints further crowded the room by drafting Georgia TE Oscar Delp at No. 73, signaling Fant is a stopgap complement valued for 12-personnel and red-zone reps with Tyler Shough — not a volume play. His final stretch last year (3% target share, 22% snaps, #38 PPR) underscores how thin his standalone fantasy ceiling has become. The realistic dynasty outcome is a low-end rotational TE whose only upside is contingent on a Johnson injury, while a productive Delp camp could erase even that. Recommendation: SELL/AVOID — at a tier-7 (~1295) value he is a roster-clogging depth piece in deep TE-premium leagues only; move him for any minor pick or bench upgrade now rather than waiting for a likely role erosion in 2027.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume2

    His snap share dropped from 42% to 22% across his final four games and his target share fell to just 3% — a trajectory suggesting he was a third TE in Cincinnati by season's end, not a featured piece.

  • Age Concerns

    At 28.2 years old, Fant is firmly in the decline phase for tight ends. His production trajectory from Denver (2019-21 peak) through Seattle (downward) to Cincinnati (minimal role) reflects continued regression.

  • Contract Expiration

    Fant is an unrestricted free agent after the 2026 season begins March 11, with no guaranteed future in Cincinnati. His one-year, $2.75M deal has expired and the Bengals may not re-sign him given his three fumbles returned for touchdowns in 2025.

  • Depth Chart

    Fant remains the clear TE2 behind Mike Gesicki, who signed a three-year, $25.5M extension and dominates the receiving work. Erick All's return from injury in 2026 further complicates Fant's role as Cincinnati's preferred complete tight end.

  • Role Uncertainty

    Fant signed with the New Orleans Saints in 2026 free agency after being phased out in Cincinnati. His new role, depth chart position, and target share at a new organization are unknown at this stage of the offseason.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Red Zone Upside

    As a primary receiving option in the Bengals' red zone with their weak TE room depth, Fant could see scoring opportunities even without massive target volume.

  • Injury Concerns

    If Gesicki suffers injury, Fant could step into TE1 role with immediate ceiling games. He showed competence with elevated targets when Gesicki missed time mid-season.

  • Landing Spot

    As an unrestricted free agent, Fant could sign with a team needing a veteran TE2/TE3 option. His athleticism and blocking versatility remain valuable traits that teams seeking two-TE sets may target on a veteran minimum contract.

  • Target Volume

    Leaving a CIN TE room featuring Mike Gesicki, Erick All, and Drew Sample removes the primary bottleneck on his usage. At the Saints, he may have a cleaner path to snaps depending on their depth chart.

  • Role Expansion

    If Juwan Johnson misses time, Fant becomes the primary TE in a Kellen Moore offense that historically uses tight ends in the passing game. Injury-fill upside is the lone meaningful dynasty catalyst.

  • Red Zone Usage

    Fant scored 3 TDs on minimal 2025 usage, suggesting red zone packaging will follow him to New Orleans. Touchdown-dependent value could generate sporadic fantasy weeks even without a target-share role.

Format Comparison

Noah Fant — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest613—
PPR SF513-100