Risk Flags
1- Elite Production
His 2025 touchdown output ran well ahead of expected scoring (6 TDs on roughly 2.0 expected), a finishing-luck gap that historically normalizes and could deflate per-game output even if the underlying role holds.
NO · TE · Age 28
Noah Fant's recent usage has been inconsistent, with a trailing average target share of just 3.9% over his last four games.
His 2025 touchdown output ran well ahead of expected scoring (6 TDs on roughly 2.0 expected), a finishing-luck gap that historically normalizes and could deflate per-game output even if the underlying role holds.
New Orleans has run a pass-heavy offense (PROE +5% over expected), inflating the dropback and target environment for every pass-catcher on the roster, Fant included.
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 621 | — |
| PPR SF | 521 | -100 |