Risk Flags
1- Elite Production
His 2025 touchdown output ran well ahead of expected scoring (6 TDs on roughly 2.0 expected), a finishing-luck gap that historically normalizes and could deflate per-game output even if the underlying role holds.
NO · TE · Age 28
Noah Fant's recent target share of 15.4% is now contested with the return of teammate Oscar Delp, making him a speculative play at best.
His 2025 touchdown output ran well ahead of expected scoring (6 TDs on roughly 2.0 expected), a finishing-luck gap that historically normalizes and could deflate per-game output even if the underlying role holds.
New Orleans has run a pass-heavy offense (PROE +5% over expected), inflating the dropback and target environment for every pass-catcher on the roster, Fant included.
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 604 | — |
| PPR SF | 502 | -102 |