Nico Collins

Ascending Jayden Higgins and an increasingly featured slot veteran (Christian Kirk) pushed Collins' target share down to 15% in multiple late-season games after a 26% peak, with snap share dipping to 56% in the wild-card round — real competition for volume even though Collins keeps the WR1 depth-chart slot.

Collins suffered a documented concussion in the Week 19 wild-card win over Pittsburgh that then sidelined him for the divisional-round loss in New England, adding to a multi-year head-injury history; he's been cleared with no reported setbacks through the 2026 offseason, but repeat head trauma is the clearest tail risk to his long-term outlook.

Houston reworked Collins' deal in 2026, guaranteeing his next two seasons and paying him $29.875M this year (fifth-highest among WRs), while GM Nick Caserio publicly ruled out trading him — about as clear a signal of entrenched WR1 status as dynasty investors get.

A Texans broadcaster's 2026 offseason commentary called for Houston to feature Collins 'like a top-seven receiver,' suggesting the coaching staff recognizes last season's target-share fade and may re-emphasize him as the offense's focal point.