Mike Gesicki

TE · #45

CIN · TE · Age 30

FLEX

Mike Gesicki's recent target share has been inconsistent, averaging just 7.4% over his last four games.

Role & volume

Gesicki's snap share has averaged 41.5% in the past four games, indicating he remains a regular part of the offense.

Projected role

Despite his involvement, Gesicki is not expected to be a primary target, with an average of just 6.2 PPR points per game over the last four weeks.

Range (floor–ceiling)

His floor is set by his lowest recent output of 2.1 PPR points in Week 15, while his ceiling is around 12.5 PPR points from a strong performance in Week 16.

Intel may be outdated · updated 49 days ago

Current statusCIN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 30 · window closingTDs due to regress

Our view vs Market↑ 45 pts above market

Our view

Market

Age-curve risk

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Usage & Volume
Snap share slid from 57% to 38% across the final month of the 2025 season while target share stayed pinned near 5-6%, and a healthy Erick All (who flashed as a rookie before a 2024 knee injury) plus a 2026 seventh-round pick spent on TE Jack Endries add fresh competition for playing time.

Opportunity Flags

Target Volume
Noah Fant, who out-targeted Gesicki in 2025, departed in free agency, clearing his top internal competitor and leaving a path for Gesicki to reclaim a larger share of Cincinnati's tight end targets.
Offensive Context
Playing alongside Joe Burrow in a pass-heavy offense running well above expected dropback rate gives Gesicki a favorable environment for spike weeks even on a limited target share, supporting streaming value in TE-needy formats.

Format Comparison

Mike Gesicki — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	833	—
PPR SF	773	-60