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Mike Evans headshot

Mike Evans

WR · #47

SF · WR · Age 33

▲START

Mike Evans's recent target share of over 24% in his last four games with TB signals he can maintain a high volume role on SF, despite the team change.

Role & volume
In his final four games with TB, Mike Evans averaged a 67.8% snap share and a 24.6% target share, indicating he was heavily involved in the offense.
Projected role
Given that star skill players typically maintain their high usage upon joining new teams, Evans is expected to continue as SF's primary receiver despite his recent trade.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Evans's recent PPR average of 12.7 points per game and a floor of 5.4 points suggest he can be relied upon for consistent production, even with the new team dynamics.
Intel may be outdated · updated 4 days ago
Current statusSF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionSolid target shareAge 32 · window closing
Our view vs Market↓ 4 pts below market
Our view
60
Market
64
High draft pedigreeAge-curve riskProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Target share slid from 38% in Week 15 to 9% by Week 18 of the 2025 season even as snap share climbed to 75%, a shrinking-role pattern that predates the move to San Francisco and is worth tracking early in the new offense.

  • Injury Concerns

    Evans dealt with groin, quad, and adductor tightness through 2026 training camp and the preseason; he was cleared in time for the opener, but recurring soft-tissue strains at his age remain a durability watch-item.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Target Volume

    Evans has held the outside X-receiver role in the San Francisco offense since Week 1, with the offensive coordinator publicly framing him as a veteran matchup problem, and his profile as a high-target-share mover historically holds value at a high level after a change of scenery rather than eroding.

  • Offensive Context

    Lining up alongside a high-end starting QB, lead back, and starting TE puts Evans in an efficient scoring offense that can sustain catch-and-red-zone value even if overall target share settles lower than his Tampa Bay peak.

Format Comparison

Mike Evans — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest2,369—
PPR SF2,005-364