Risk Flags
4- Scheme Continuity
Arizona overhauled its staff for 2026 — Mike LaFleur replaces Jonathan Gannon as HC with Nathaniel Hackett taking over play-calling/OC duties and Tony Sorrentino at WR coach, removing the Petzing/Terrell room that fostered Wilson's 2025 breakout. A new scheme introduces real role and target-distribution uncertainty until the system is proven.
- Target Volume
Marvin Harrison Jr. is the ascending alpha and projects as the clear WR1, capping Wilson's ceiling as the perimeter WR2. A fully healthy MHJ compresses Wilson's target share even with his sticky 29% late-season usage.
- QB Dependency
The QB room of journeyman Jacoby Brissett and rookie Carson Beck lacks a proven high-end starter, capping passing-game efficiency and Wilson's per-target value. His production is tethered to whichever QB wins the job and how quickly the new offense gels.
- Contract Situation
Wilson enters the final year of his rookie deal ($3.92M) and reaches free agency in 2027; he's an extension candidate but the situation is unresolved. He's publicly downplayed it, but an unsigned contract year adds mild long-term roster uncertainty.