Risk Flags
6- Injury Concerns
Marvin Harrison Jr. was limited to 12 games with three different injuries plus a concussion in 2025, creating target volatility. However, when Harrison misses games, Wilson averages 124.75 receiving yards per game compared to Harrison's single career game over 100 yards, with Wilson posting three 100-yard games in the past seven weeks versus Harrison's two career games. This is a double-edged sword—Harrison's absence fuels Wilson's value but creates unpredictability.
- QB Situation Flux
The Cardinals are likely to move on from Kyler Murray this offseason, and Jacoby Brissett started since Week 6 after Murray suffered a foot injury in Week 5 and was shut down for the season December 5. Arizona holds the No. 3 draft pick but the team isn't expected to draft a quarterback as of now. This creates uncertainty on whether Wilson's recent success with Brissett continues or improves under a new QB.
- Target Volatility Mhj
Wilson's production heavily correlates with Marvin Harrison Jr.'s availability—he dominated when Harrison missed games but saw targets plummet when both played. Harrison's recurring injury issues create massive week-to-week uncertainty for Wilson's fantasy output.
- QB Situation
Kyler Murray departed for Minnesota, leaving Arizona entering 2026 with Jacoby Brissett as the incumbent starter. A Brissett-led offense substantially caps the unit's ceiling and Wilson's production potential unless the Cardinals solve the position via the 3rd overall pick.
- QB Instability
Kyler Murray departed for the Vikings, Jacoby Brissett is in a contract holdout and skipping OTAs, and Carson Beck (No. 65 overall) is a developmental gamble receiving a 'D' draft grade. Wilson's fantasy ceiling is meaningfully capped until the quarterback room stabilizes.
- Target Volume
Wilson recorded 1,000 yards receiving in 2025 and Trey McBride also exceeded 1,000 yards, becoming the first Cardinals pair to do so since 2015. With McBride ranking third in the NFL with 109 receptions and leading all tight ends in catches, yards, and touchdowns, Wilson's target upside is inherently capped in an offense built around McBride's dominance.