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TE #290
Michael Trigg headshot
Michael Trigg headshot

Michael Trigg

Tier 14

DAL · TE · Age 23

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

639Declining

Michael Trigg is exactly what his profile suggests: a high-ceiling, high-variance UDFA dart throw who fell out of the 2026 draft on character concerns despite...

Trajectory data unavailable

Prospect Profile2026 Class

0.9Composite Score

Market View

  • KTC(consensus market)1,144
  • FantasyCalc(algorithmic)756
  • Spread▼−34%

Composite Breakdown

Each row compares Michael Trigg to other 2026 prospects in that signal — except Class × Draft Slot, which shows the editorial multiplier applied to Michael Trigg's 2026-class + draft-slot combo (baseline 1.00× = neutral).

Computed from 2 of 6 signals

  • Draft Capital25%
  • Combine Athletic17%
  • Rookie ADP17%
  • Expert Consensus17%▼bottom 2%ECR #395
  • College Production15%
  • Class × Draft Slot9%▲+10% (1.10×)+10% (1.10×)

Class rank: 1st percentile

BMI
16%
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (9 flags)

Risk Flags

4
  • Off-Field Risk

    Trigg was a projected 3rd-round pick who fell entirely out of the 2026 NFL Draft due to documented off-field issues — multiple one-game suspensions, reported run-ins with coaches and staff, and skipping meetings. These patterns create genuine roster security risk at the professional level where tolerance for behavioral issues is lower.

  • Ball Security

    Trigg led all college tight ends in drops in 2025, recording 7 drops on 85 targets (12.3% drop rate). For a player whose entire NFL value proposition rests on being a pass-catcher, this is a foundational flaw that must be corrected before he earns quarterback trust.

  • Target Competition

    Jake Ferguson just signed a 4-year, $52M extension (through 2029) after consecutive Pro Bowl-caliber seasons — he is the immovable TE1 in Dallas. Trigg's dynasty ceiling is structurally capped at TE2/3 usage unless Ferguson suffers a significant injury.

  • Scheme Fit

    Trigg is widely regarded as a poor run blocker, which limits his versatility in an NFL offense and reduces his floor as an every-down contributor. Teams are unlikely to trust him in run-heavy or two-tight-end run-blocking packages.

Opportunity Flags

5
  • Athletic Upside

    Trigg's physical profile is genuinely elite — 6'4", 240 lbs, 99th-percentile wingspan (7+ feet), and 91st-percentile arm length and hand size among TE prospects since 2011. If his off-field concerns prove manageable and his hands clean up, the raw tools support a legitimate starting NFL TE ceiling.

  • Organizational Fit

    Dallas signed Trigg with $200K in guaranteed UDFA money — among the largest UDFA commitments in that class — and the Cowboys' TE coach attended his entire Baylor Pro Day. The organizational commitment signals a real, targeted path to the 53-man roster rather than a camp body role.

  • Value Opportunity

    At a dynasty trade value of ~1755 (Tier 6), Trigg is exceptionally cheap for a player with elite athleticism in a pass-heavy offense. If he develops and Ferguson ever misses time, the value delta relative to acquisition cost is massive for patient dynasty managers.

  • Offensive Context

    Dallas runs a pass-heavy scheme with Dak Prescott distributing to CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, who will absorb heavy defensive attention. When defenses cheat toward those elite WRs, seam routes and red-zone opportunities open up for a physical, athletic TE.

  • Youth Upside

    Young TE (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Scenarios (4)
  • Practice squad / fringe rosterlikely-10%

    Loses the back-end TE battle to Spann-Ford/Schoonmaker depth, lands on practice squad

  • Wins TE3, carves 2-TE package rolepossible+20%

    Carries rookie-minicamp/OTA momentum into camp and earns designed pass-game snaps

  • Ferguson injury unlocks volumeunlikely+40%

    Ferguson misses time and Trigg out-produces Schoonmaker for receiving snaps

  • Released over character/depth crunchunlikely-45%

    Off-field incident or roster numbers force a cut before Week 1

Format Comparison

Michael Trigg — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest747—
PPR SF639-108