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Michael Mayer headshot

Michael Mayer

TE · #31

LV · TE · Age 25

▲START

Michael Mayer inherits a significant portion of the vacated passing-game volume from Brock Bowers, who commanded a 19% target share last season.

Role & volume
Over his last four games, Mayer saw a snap share ranging from 19.0% to 95.0%, with an average of 68.5%. His target share varied widely but averaged at 17.1%.
Projected role
With Bowers out, Mayer is projected to see a substantial increase in his target share and overall usage within the passing game.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Mayer's recent performance shows a wide range of outcomes, from scoring 0.0 PPR points to over 17.9 PPR points in a single game, reflecting his potential for high upside weeks.
Intel updated: 2 days ago
Current statusLV
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Buy-low — we see clear value above the market price
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to regress
  • ▲Dynasty age curve
  • ▲Draft-capital pedigree
  • ▲Expected fantasy points
Our view vs Market↑ 39 pts above market
Our view
74
Market
35
Long career runwayTD regression riskHigh draft pedigree

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Target Competition

    Brock Bowers remains the entrenched lead tight end in this offense, and once he's back to full health his target share caps Mayer's ceiling to a complementary TE2 role even within a two-tight-end scheme.

  • Usage & Volume

    Game-to-game output has swung from a shutout on limited snaps to a multi-catch effort within the same short stretch, showing the role is still tied to Bowers's availability rather than a fixed independent target share.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Target share and snap share both trended upward through the end of 2025, with the final two games showing a real complementary role rather than a pure afterthought behind Bowers.

  • Contract Situation

    A three-year extension with substantial guarantees signals the Raiders view Mayer as a long-term complementary piece alongside Bowers, reducing snap-share risk from roster churn.

Format Comparison

Michael Mayer — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,277—
PPR SF1,192-85