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MH

Matthew Hibner

TE

FA · TE · Age 26

Dynasty rank
—
◆Hold Stable
Tier
—
Consensus
Debated
What’s driving the value
Case for
+
Age / window
age 26 TE
Minor
+
Situation
Multiple tailwinds
Notable
Case against
−
Pedigree / rank
TE99 · Tier ?
Minor
Neutral: Production trend
Analysis

Hibner is a deep, speculative TE stash whose dynasty case improved at the margins this offseason: Isaiah Likely's departure to the Giants opened a real TE2/move-tight-end vacancy, and Baltimore traded up to draft him, signaling genuine interest in a 'Likely-type' versatile role. However, the bigger story is that Mark Andrews signed a 3-year, $39M extension that locks the TE1 job through roughly 2028, so any near-term ceiling is capped at rotational targets — and even that requires beating rookie Josh Cuevas and veteran Durham Smythe. As an older rookie (~24) with thin college production but strong athletic testing (4.57 forty, 37-inch vert) and Lamar Jackson's offense as a backdrop, he's a traits-and-landing-spot bet, not a producer. The realistic Year 1 outcome is a low-volume backup with occasional matchup snaps; the upside scenario is inheriting Andrews' role on a 1-2 year horizon. Recommendation: HOLD in TE-premium/deep dynasty leagues as a cheap lottery ticket, and a speculative BUY only at minimal cost (late pick / waiver flyer) over a 1-2 year window — not a hold worth premium capital in standard formats.

Scenarios (4)
Wins Likely role as rotational pass-catcherpossible▲ +30%
Buried developmental stash, minimal Year 1 usagelikely▼ -10%
Ascends to TE1 on Andrews decline or injurypossible▲ +45%
Fails to separate, roster casualtyunlikely▼ -40%
Current statusFree Agent
Also see:

Prospect Profile2026 Class

26.2Composite Score

Composite Breakdown

Each row compares Matthew Hibner to other 2026 prospects in that signal — except Class × Draft Slot, which shows the editorial multiplier applied to Matthew Hibner's 2026-class + draft-slot combo (baseline 1.00× = neutral).

Computed from 3 of 6 signals

  • Draft Capital25%▼~averageRound 4, Pick 129
  • Combine Athletic17%▲~average
  • Rookie ADP17%
  • Expert Consensus17%
  • College Production15%
  • Class × Draft Slot9%▲+5% (1.05×)+5% (1.05×)0.60

Class rank: 56th percentile

40-Yd91%
Bench96%
Vertical88%
Broad52%
Speed92%
Burst73%
HaSS91%
SPARQ-x94%
BMI57%
Catch Rad.66%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Matthew Hibner's Speed Score?
Matthew Hibner's Speed Score ranks in the 92th percentile among NFL prospects at the position.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (11 flags)

Risk Flags

5
  • Depth Chart2

    Mark Andrews is locked in as TE1 with fully guaranteed 2026 money and partial guarantees through 2027. Hibner enters as a developmental TE3/4 behind Andrews and blocking specialist Durham Smythe, with limited early path to targets.

  • Age Concerns

    Hibner spent six years in college (Michigan 2020–23, SMU 2024–25), making him approximately 24–25 as a rookie — older than typical dynasty TE prospects, which meaningfully compresses his prime window and long-term ceiling.

  • Roster Competition

    Baltimore also drafted Josh Cuevas at TE in 2026, creating direct head-to-head competition for the vacated pass-catching TE2 role left by Isaiah Likely (signed with Giants) and Charlie Kolar (signed with Chargers).

  • Profile Risk

    Career college output is thin — just two catches at Michigan and one productive SMU season — so the bet rests on athletic traits (4.57 forty, 37-inch vert) rather than proven receiving translation.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Succession Path

    The Ravens traded up to select Hibner and simultaneously lost both pass-catching TEs from their roster, signaling clear organizational intent to groom Hibner as Andrews' long-term successor in a TE-premium system.

  • Role Opening

    Isaiah Likely's departure to the Giants vacates the clear TE2/move-tight-end role; the Ravens explicitly envision Hibner in a 'Likely-type' versatile pass-catcher slot.

  • Target Volume

    With Likely and Kolar both departed and Smythe being a blocking-only specialist, the pass-catching TE2 role is legitimately uncontested — giving Hibner a realistic path to meaningful targets as early as Year 1.

  • Scheme Fit

    Hibner's 4.57 40-yard dash (5th among TEs at combine) and 37-inch vertical (4th among TEs) align precisely with Baltimore's vertical seam TE usage under Lamar Jackson, who has historically elevated athletic TEs.

  • Draft Capital

    Baltimore traded up (a 5th and a 2027 6th to San Francisco) to secure Hibner at 133 — a meaningful organizational investment for a Day 3 TE.

  • Depth Chart

    Andrews turns 31 in September 2026 and posted back-to-back underwhelming seasons (48-422-5 in 2025), meaning an accelerated role transition to Hibner within the contract window is a plausible near-term scenario.