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Marvin Mims headshot

Marvin Mims

WR · #98

DEN · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank
WR102
◆WR102 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#255
ADP
WR52
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-50 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR102
vs
Market ADP
WR52
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 24 WR
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR102 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR52 ADP · -50 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 receivers most similar to Marvin Mims's 2025 season, 1 finished WR3, 7 finished WR4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

71%20%
  • WR310%(1)
  • WR4+71%(7)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.4 median
0.0p25–p75 2.2–7.413.0
10 most similar players
Mecole Hardman88%
2022·WR77 · 10.8 PPG
Jalen Reagor87%
2022·WR138 · 2.7 PPG
Tutu Atwell81%
2024·WR80 · 6.4 PPG
Isaiah McKenzie81%
2019·WR91 · 5.3 PPG
Greg Dortch80%
2023·WR96 · 7.2 PPG
Lynn Bowden Jr.80%
2021·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Mims enters 2026 stuck in one of the NFL's deepest WR rooms after Denver's all-in March trade for Jaylen Waddle, sitting behind Waddle, Courtland Sutton, and a breakout Troy Franklin with Pat Bryant also in the mix — beat writers uniformly cast him as a WR4/WR5 gadget and elite returner, not a target earner. The lone bull case is real but thin: his playoff target share climbed to 19-22% during Denver's run to the Conference Championship, and at 24 with 2nd-round pedigree he retains age runway. Working against him are a confirmed positional logjam, a walk-year contract with no guarantee of extension, and a PPR #53 / 7.2 PPG offensive profile that return-game value can't rescue in fantasy. The most value-accretive outcome is a trade to a WR-needy offense, which his contract situation makes plausible but not imminent. Net: this is a SELL/hold-for-trade — if a leaguemate values the draft pedigree or playoff flashes, cash out now; otherwise hold as a near-zero-cost lottery ticket on a Waddle/Sutton injury or a 2026 trade, with a 1-2 year resolution window. Sentiment remains bearish.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 5 pts above market
Our view
36
Market
31
Long career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume3

    Mims ended 2025 with career-low 322 receiving yards on 37 catches despite playing 15 games. He plays a part-time role, logging under 35% snap share most weeks behind Sutton, Franklin, and Pat Bryant.

  • Depth Chart

    The Broncos' March 2026 Jaylen Waddle acquisition (cost: No. 30 overall pick + 3rd + 4th swap) buried Mims as an effective WR5 behind Sutton, Waddle, Franklin, and Bryant. His target share only spiked to 19–22% in the final two weeks of 2025 when Franklin and Bryant were banged up — that injury-driven window is now even narrower.

  • Contract Situation

    Mims enters 2026 in his final rookie contract year, but the Broncos have locked in significant cap commitments to Sutton and Waddle, making an extension for a WR5 gadget player impractical. A post-2026 release or free-agent walk is a realistic outcome, and Mims himself publicly questioned his role after the Waddle trade.

  • Role Ceiling

    ESPN named Mims the NFL's top gadget player — a double-edged distinction. Roughly 70% of his 2024 targets came behind the line of scrimmage, confirming he's an extension of the run game rather than a route-runner. His 2025 line of 37 rec / 322 yards / 1 TD underscores a hard ceiling in any PPR format without role expansion.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Special Teams Value

    Mims was named All-Pro punch returner and Pro Bowl returner specialist in 2025 (15.7 yards per punt return, 26 returns). Special teams production provides consistent scoring floor and differentiates his dynasty value.

  • Roster Move

    Multiple reports confirmed the Broncos are fielding trade calls on Mims and Franklin post-Waddle. A trade to a WR-needy offense would immediately reset Mims's dynasty ceiling — his elite speed and 2nd-round draft pedigree profile well as a WR2/3 elsewhere. The window to sell high is now, before the roster crunch cements his gadget label league-wide.

  • Landing Spot Change

    Mims is the most expendable piece on an overcrowded Denver WR depth chart and is the most logical trade chip; a move to a WR-needy offense would immediately unlock his elite speed profile and restore dynasty relevance overnight.

  • Youth And Timeline

    At 23.9 years old, Mims remains in his offensive window for upside. If Franklin or Bryant suffer injury, or if Denver's WR room changes via draft/free agency, there's a clear path to expanded opportunity.

  • Playoff Emergence

    Mims delivered standout playoff performances when thrust into expanded roles due to Franklin and Bryant injuries, posting 8-93-1 vs Buffalo and leading the team in receiving. These clutch moments could signal untapped offensive upside if opportunity materializes in 2026.

  • Contract Situation

    2026 is his final rookie contract year, creating a natural reset point — if he can earn a free-agent deal with a team that has genuine WR need, his age-24 profile at that point remains attractive.

Format Comparison

Marvin Mims — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,041—
PPR SF869-172