Risk Flags
6- QB Dependency
Cardinals are actively exploring trading Kyler Murray before March 15 deadline when $19.5M becomes guaranteed for 2027. Arizona may start Jacoby Brissett or draft/sign a new QB, creating massive target efficiency risk for Harrison.
- Injury Concerns
Four separate injuries in 2025 (concussion, appendicitis, heel, foot) limited Harrison to just 12 games with recurring lower-body issues creating durability concerns entering Year 3. The foot injury requires no offseason restrictions per reports, but the pattern is troubling.
- QB Situation Dire
Kyler Murray likely departing; new HC Mike LaFleur with unfamiliar offensive system creates massive scheme uncertainty. QB transition could significantly reduce target efficiency and volume.
- Target Volume
Michael Wilson emerged as WR1 during Harrison's absences, posting 1,000+ yards while Harrison played 12 games. With Trey McBride (TE, value 7752) also elite, target allocation compressed significantly.
- Usage & Volume
MHJ's snap share cratered from 91% in Week 10 to just 33% in Week 17 as injuries progressively limited his effectiveness. Even when returning from appendicitis surgery in W16 he was capped at 51% snaps, suggesting the coaching staff was managing a player who never fully recovered.
- Underperformance
Two straight disappointing seasons — 2025 finished at just 10.7 PPG and PPR WR#52 over 12 games. He enters a defining make-or-break Year 3 with fans and media openly putting him 'on notice.'