Marcus Mariota

QB · #58

WAS · QB · Age 32

FLEX

Marcus Mariota's recent injury history, including an MCL sprain that sidelined him for the preseason, signals a riskier outlook despite his established role as Washington's QB.

Role & volume

Mariota has shown variability in rushing volume over his last four games, with carry shares ranging from 3.9% to 30.3%, indicating a mixed usage pattern that can impact weekly consistency.

Projected role

As the primary quarterback for Washington, Mariota is expected to maintain a high snap share and continue contributing with both passing and rushing production, but his recent injury status introduces uncertainty.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Given his established role and recent performance trends, Mariota's weekly range remains wide, from a low floor of -2.1 PPR points to a ceiling that can exceed 20 PPR points in games where he maximizes rushing opportunities.

Intel may be outdated · updated 44 days ago

Current statusWAS

Our read vs. the market

Beta

No call yetLow confidence

The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (2 flags)

Risk Flags

QB Dependency
Mariota's fantasy relevance is entirely contingent on Jayden Daniels missing time; with Daniels entrenched as a healthy, elite starter, structured data shows 0% target share and a snap share that is trending down toward a pure clipboard role.
Injury Concerns
A knee (MCL) sprain cost him the back half of the 2026 preseason before he returned healthy for the regular season; layered on a 2025 hand/quad absence, durability is a recurring question for a player whose roster spot depends on availability.

Format Comparison

Marcus Mariota — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR SFBest	447	—
PPR 1QB	342	-105

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