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QB #86
Malik Willis headshot
Malik Willis headshot

Malik Willis

Tier 6

MIA · QB · Age 27

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

2,550Rising

Willis is no longer a backup — he signed a 3-year, $67.5M deal with Miami and opens 2026 as the projected starter under a new regime (GM Jon-Eric Sullivan, HC...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Backup QB Status

    Willis remains a backup on the Packers depth chart behind Jordan Love, severely limiting his dynasty relevance and starting opportunity in 2025-2026.

  • Imminent Free Agency

    Willis will be unrestricted free agent in March 2026, leaving the Packers entirely. He is actively expected to depart and compete for a starting job elsewhere.

  • Supporting Cast

    Miami traded Jaylen Waddle shortly after signing Willis, leaving him with a WR room of Jalen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell, and Malik Washington — a bottom-tier group that caps Willis's fantasy ceiling regardless of his personal efficiency.

  • Draft Capital

    Dolphins GM Jon-Eric Sullivan has publicly stated the team will draft a QB this year and 'likely every year,' so Willis's grip on the job is conditional and a 2027 rookie could leapfrog him even if he plays well.

  • Offensive Context

    After Miami traded Jaylen Waddle to the Broncos, the 2026 WR depth chart is headlined by Malik Washington (65 targets, 317 yards last season), Jalen Tolbert, and Tutu Atwell — among the weakest top-WR trios in the league, severely capping Willis's passing upside and fantasy ceiling.

  • Team Outlook

    Miami is in a full organizational reset carrying over $175M in dead money; the team is projected near the bottom of the AFC in 2026, which limits scoring context and raises the probability of a future high draft pick targeting a franchise QB in 2027 (Arch Manning-tier class).

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Starting Job Landing

    Multiple QB-needy teams (Jets, Cardinals, Dolphins, Falcons, Steelers) are linked to Willis. He stands to move from backup to starter, massively increasing his fantasy ceiling and dynasty value.

  • Scheme Fit

    Willis' success under Matt LaFleur's offense is notable, but his elite athleticism and dual-threat ability (261 rushing yards in 11 games) translates to multiple offensive schemes, enhancing landing spot flexibility.

  • Multiple Starting Opportunities

    Multiple teams (Dolphins, Cardinals, Steelers, Browns, Jets) have been explicitly linked to Willis as a starting option. The Dolphins' new coach Jeff Hafley and Cardinals' new coach Mike LaFleur both have direct ties to Willis from Green Bay.

  • Lucrative Contract

    Industry projections range from $20-26 million per year on a 2-year deal similar to Justin Fields' contract with the Jets. Willis will see a massive salary increase from his $1.42M 2025 earnings, likely with $30M guaranteed.

  • Starting Opportunity

    The 3-year, $67.5M deal ($45M guaranteed) with the Dolphins establishes Willis as an unambiguous QB1 with job security, removing the backup-role discount that suppressed his dynasty value throughout his Green Bay tenure.

  • Rushing Upside

    Willis's elite mobility projects to 650+ rushing yards and ~6 rushing TDs in 2026, providing a reliable fantasy scoring floor in SuperFlex formats that is independent of Miami's shaky passing game infrastructure.

Scenarios (4)
  • Holds job as low-end QB1likely+20%

    Rushing floor + Achane safety valve produce streamable weekly QB1 lines across a full 2026 season

  • Superflex breakout starterpossible+40%

    Hafley/Slowik scheme unlocks efficient passing alongside rushing equity; Willis posts top-12 QB numbers

  • Benched for Ewers/strugglespossible-35%

    Poor accuracy or turnovers prompt a midseason switch to Quinn Ewers

  • Replaced by 2027 drafted QBunlikely-45%

    Miami spends premium 2027 draft capital on a franchise QB, relegating Willis to bridge/backup

Format Comparison

Malik Willis — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest2,550—
PPR 1QB1,811-739