Mack Hollins

WR · #153

NE · WR · Age 32

Redraft rank

WR117

WR117 · Depth

Tier

Overall

#289

ADP

WR96

Consensus

Coin flip

Value vs ADP-21 slots (reach)

Our rank

WR117

Market ADP

WR96

Drafted earlier than the projection supports.

What’s driving the season rank

Case against

Projection rank

WR117 · proj. consensus

Notable

ADP value

WR96 ADP · -21 slots

Major

Source agreement

±21 rank σ · 2 sources

Notable

Age / role

age 32 WR

Notable

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-32 receivers most similar to Mack Hollins's 2025 season, 8 finished WR4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

79%21%

WR4+79%(8)
Missed season21%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.0 median

0.0p25–p75 3.8–7.38.7

10 most similar players

DeSean Jackson83%

2021WR96 · 5.3 PPG

T.Y. Hilton83%

2022WR139 · 5.2 PPG

Antonio Brown73%

2022Missed the season

Marquise Goodwin70%

2022WR81 · 7.5 PPG

John Brown69%

2021Missed the season

Julio Jones69%

2021WR78 · 8.4 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Hollins enters 2026 as a 32-year-old (turning 33 in-season) veteran whose 2025 role as a trusted WR2/WR3 (46-550-2, 72% snaps) is being squeezed hard by New England's retooled receiver room — the A.J. Brown trade acquisition and Romeo Doubs' 4-year FA deal headline a group that also features an emerging Kyle Williams, leaving Hollins as a WR4/blocking and leadership piece. He fully recovered from a late-season lacerated spleen (4 games missed) and contributed to the Patriots' Super Bowl LX run, but his target share was already trending down (20%) and he is a clean ~$4.5M cap cut candidate with no guarantees. The dynasty profile is essentially zero appreciable value: an aging, low-volume veteran with real roster-spot risk. Buy/sell verdict: SELL/avoid now — he holds only deep-league or contender-bench utility, and any minor value should be cashed immediately rather than held. Hold only if you are a win-now team needing a stable veteran body and nothing better is available.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

Age Concerns
Hollins turns 33 early in the 2026 season, squarely in the WR decline phase with no dynasty appreciation runway. Per Pats Pulpit's 2026 scouting report he is 'not a world beater' and projects as a stopgap WR2/WR3 at best.
Target Volume
New England added A.J. Brown via trade and signed Romeo Doubs to a 4-year/$80M deal as the WR2, while sophomore Kyle Williams is emerging — pushing Hollins down to a WR4/blocking role. His target share already trended down to 20% over the final stretch.
Contract Situation
Hollins is under contract for 2026 but carries no guarantees beyond ~$1.15M in signing bonuses; New England can release him to save roughly $4.5M against the cap. A crowded, retooled room makes him a realistic camp cut candidate.

Opportunity Flags

Usage & Volume
Hollins held a stable 72% snap share and proved trusted in the biggest spots (17.8 PPR pts on 20% target share in Super Bowl LX). If Boutte is traded or an injury hits ahead of him, he could back into spot flex relevance, though it carries no lasting dynasty value at his age.

Format Comparison

Mack Hollins — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	650	—
PPR SF	558	-92

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

650

—

PPR SF

558

-92