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Luke Schoonmaker headshot

Luke Schoonmaker

TE · #72

DAL · TE · Age 27

Redraft rank
TE71
◆TE71 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#351
ADP
TE30
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-41 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE71
vs
Market ADP
TE30
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
TE71 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
TE30 ADP · -41 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±42 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-27 tight ends most similar to Luke Schoonmaker's 2025 season, 1 finished TE3, 6 finished TE4+, 3 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

60%30%
  • TE310%(1)
  • TE4+60%(6)
  • Missed season30%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range2.7 median
0.0p25–p75 0.0–4.76.1
10 most similar players
Tyler Kroft98%
2020·TE54 · 7.0 PPG
Hunter Long95%
2025·TE58 · 4.6 PPG
Jesse James95%
2022·Missed the season
O.J. Howard92%
2022·TE57 · 3.3 PPG
Charlie Kolar90%
2025·TE57 · 2.8 PPG
Eric Ebron90%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Schoonmaker enters a contract-year tryout as the No. 3 (or lower) tight end in Dallas, firmly behind Pro Bowler Jake Ferguson and now actively threatened by Brevyn Spann-Ford and physically-gifted UDFA Michael Trigg for the backup role. His 2025 line — 14 catches, zero TDs, 1.9 PPG, #60 PPR, a frozen 4% target share — confirms he's a blocking specialist with no receiving path on a team loaded with CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Dak Prescott target competition. Multiple beat outlets (SI, Heavy) have floated cut-or-trade scenarios after the Trigg signing, so even his Week 1 roster spot is in question, and at 27 the developmental window that justified his 2023 second-round selection is closed. The only real catalyst is a Ferguson injury, which is both unlikely and would still force a three-way snap battle. This is a clear SELL/AVOID; in standard leagues he's roster filler at best — accept any pick-adjacent value now, as his floor is being cut outright by September. Hold only in deep TE-premium formats as a zero-cost injury dart.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionElite target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 14 pts above market
Our view
22
Market
8
Thin opportunity shareProduction lagging value

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Schoonmaker has slipped to TE3 behind Ferguson and Brevyn Spann-Ford, losing snaps and targets as a blocker-focused committee member in Dallas' passing game.

  • Minimal Production Trajectory

    Despite 4 games in 2024 as a receiving threat when Ferguson was out (14-144-1), Schoonmaker has regressed to just 14 catches, 132 yards in 2025 with limited ceiling.

  • Blocked Path To Targets

    Jake Ferguson's four-year, $52 million extension runs through 2029, cementing him as the Cowboys' long-term TE1 and eliminating any meaningful pathway for Schoonmaker to earn consistent targets or playing time.

  • Minimal Production

    Schoonmaker managed just 14 catches for 132 yards in 2025, a significant regression from his 2024 flashes. Career totals of 49 receptions for 438 yards through three seasons demonstrate lack of fantasy relevance.

  • Roster Security

    The Cowboys signed UDFA Michael Trigg on April 25 with only $389K dead cap attached to Schoonmaker — a clear financial signal Dallas is ready to move on. Schoonmaker faces a legitimate cut or trade before Week 1 of 2026.

  • Contract Situation

    Entering the final year of his rookie deal (UFA in 2027) on a contract-year tryout. SI and Heavy both floated cut/trade scenarios after the Trigg signing, putting his Week 1 roster spot in genuine question.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns2

    If Ferguson sustains injury, Schoonmaker has demonstrated he can handle lead-role targets (20 targets in 3 games vs Concussed Ferguson), providing temporary value upside in high-volume Dallas offense.

  • Target Vacuum

    If Dallas moves on from Schultz in free agency, Schoonmaker could inherit meaningful red zone and intermediate passing opportunities in a high-volume offense.

  • Contract Situation

    After 2026, as an unrestricted free agent, Schoonmaker could find a better role with a TE-needy team seeking a secondary pass-catcher or blocking specialist in a larger opportunity.

  • Free Agency 2027

    Schoonmaker becomes an unrestricted free agent after 2026, providing a potential escape from Dallas and opportunity to find a TE-needy team where he could compete for a larger role.

  • Low Cost Acquisition

    At trade value, Schoonmaker is available as a speculative flyer for minimal dynasty capital, useful for rebuilding teams seeking upside at minimal risk.

Format Comparison

Luke Schoonmaker — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest710—
PPR SF576-134