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TE #333
Luke Musgrave headshot
Luke Musgrave headshot

Luke Musgrave

Tier 15

GBP · TE · Age 25

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

676Declining

Musgrave is a low-floor, trade-contingent dynasty asset whose value remains an almost binary story.

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume

    Despite suiting up for all 17 regular-season games in 2025, Musgrave totaled just 24 catches for 252 yards (on 31 targets) without a single touchdown. In Week 17, Josh Whyle played 28 snaps to Musgrave's 18 in a pass-heavy script, suggesting the Packers have leaned on Whyle more than Musgrave in recent weeks when they actually need to throw the ball.

  • Usage & Volume

    Fellow tight end John FitzPatrick had a 70 percent snap share while Musgrave played 52 percent of Green Bay's offensive snaps. Even though Tucker Kraft's injury opened the door for Musgrave to recapture a big role on the offense, there were games when he played fewer snaps than John FitzPatrick and Josh Whyle.

  • Depth Chart

    Tucker Kraft is ahead of schedule in his ACL recovery and expected to return Week 1 of 2026, immediately pushing Musgrave back to a backup role. GM Brian Gutekunst has indicated extension talks with Kraft are a priority, cementing him as the long-term TE1.

  • Starter Threat

    Tucker Kraft is 'right on schedule' with his ACL recovery (torn Week 9, 2025) and expected back for Week 1, 2026; Matt LaFleur called him 'a big focal point of our offense.' Musgrave has no viable path to meaningful targets in Green Bay once Kraft is healthy.

  • Production Ceiling

    As the de facto TE1 following Kraft's injury, Musgrave totaled just 24 catches, 252 yards, and zero touchdowns on 31 targets across 17 games—a disqualifying TE1 audition that raises genuine ceiling concerns regardless of landing spot.

  • Target Competition

    Musgrave is a clear TE2 behind Tucker Kraft (value 4820 vs 1294), who is expected back early in 2026 and is the front office's extension priority. As long as both are healthy in Green Bay, Musgrave has no path to a featured receiving role.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Role Expansion

    Dolphins GM Jon-Eric Sullivan and HC Jeff Hafley are both Packers alumni with direct familiarity with Musgrave, and Miami has a real roster need at receiving TE; a trade would instantly make him the target-share leader in a position-starved offense.

  • Injury Concerns

    Tucker Kraft said mid-January that he is already ahead of schedule from his recovery from a right ACL tear suffered early January and that he expects to be ready for Week 1 of the 2026 campaign. Kraft's expected return puts Musgrave back in a secondary role long-term, limiting upside.

  • Trade Destination

    Active trade rumors as of April 2026 link Musgrave to the Dolphins, Cowboys, and Ravens—a landing spot with a clear TE1 role and functional QB could dramatically reframe his dynasty value from backup-level to startable.

  • Draft Capital

    Persistent reporting links Musgrave to a trade (Dolphins frequently named); a deal reportedly nearly happened before the deadline. A move to a team installing him as the primary receiving TE would multiply his dynasty value overnight.

  • Receiving Profile Mismatch

    Offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich said Musgrave provides a different kind of player than Tucker in the pass game, serving as a really good down-the-field threat with really good speed and good range when he catches the ball, positioning him to get more targets and take over that vertical role.

  • Injury-Driven Opening

    Kraft is recovering and only expected back 'early' in 2026 — any setback or re-aggravation hands Musgrave the lead receiving role on a Jordan Love offense, his only standalone path to relevance in Green Bay.

Scenarios (4)
  • Stays as Kraft's backup/blockerlikely-10%

    Kraft returns healthy Week 1 and reclaims the every-down TE role

  • Traded to a receiving TE rolepossible+35%

    Packers deal him (e.g., Miami) for a mid-round pick to a TE-needy depth chart

  • Kraft setback reopens the GB roleunlikely+25%

    ACL recovery stalls or a re-injury forces Musgrave back into the starting role

  • Walks in 2027 FA to a thin rolepossible-20%

    No extension; signs elsewhere into a committee with no clear target path

Format Comparison

Luke Musgrave — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest777—
PPR SF676-101