Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineDraftRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Luke Musgrave headshot

Luke Musgrave

TE · #50

GB · TE · Age 26

▼SIT

Luke Musgrave's recent injury status and his contested target share with Jonnu Smith returning signal a SIT lean for the upcoming season.

Role & volume
Musgrave has seen a significant drop in target share to an average of just 12.5% over his last four games, indicating reduced usage and value.
Projected role
With Jonnu Smith now back on the roster, Musgrave's role is further contested, pushing him down our value board to TE69, a rank that does not support starting consideration.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his recent performance and depth-chart position, Musgrave projects a low floor of 3.3 PPR points and a ceiling unlikely to surpass the high-end TE tier, making him a speculative SIT option.
Intel may be outdated · updated 49 days ago
Current statusGB
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Slight buy-low — we value him a bit above the marketSlight
Why
Solid usage productionStrong target shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to regress
  • ▲Draft-capital pedigree
  • ▲Touchdown-luck regression
Our view vs Market↑ 17 pts above market
Our view
31
Market
14
Long career runwayThin opportunity share

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Injury Concerns

    Opened 2026 on the reserve/PUP list with an undisclosed-severity neck injury from June minicamp, guaranteeing missed time while the team still works to determine if it's a longer-term issue.

  • Usage & Volume

    Target share slid from the high-teens down to near-zero across his final four 2025 games even as snap share climbed toward full-time, a profile that reads as blocking/decoy usage rather than a real receiving role.

  • Contract Situation

    Entering the final year of his rookie contract in 2026, raising the stakes on a season that has so far opened with an injury and a crowded depth chart rather than the opportunity he'd need to cash in.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Role Uncertainty Upside

    Tucker Kraft is still building back up from a November 2025 ACL tear; any setback or snap management for Kraft remains the clearest path to expanded playing time for Musgrave.

  • Prior Role Flashes

    Musgrave has already shown he can handle a near every-down role (up to 80% snaps) when given the chance, evidence the functional talent is there if volume ever returns.

Format Comparison

Luke Musgrave — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,046—
PPR SF872-174