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Ladd McConkey headshot

Ladd McConkey

WR · #15

LAC · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank
WR18
•WR18 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#69
ADP
WR19
Consensus
Tight

Ladd McConkey's 78.1% snap share in 2025 underscores his role as the Chargers' unquestioned WR1, despite a down year that saw him finish as WR33 with just 11.0 PPG.

Role & trajectory
McConkey enters year three as the Chargers' WR1, having held this position wire-to-wire in 2025 at an 88-89% snap share late in the season. However, his target share fell to 19.8%, indicating a volume issue rather than a talent problem.
Projected outlook
With Mike McDaniel now calling plays and an improved offensive line, McConkey's YAC-heavy profile aligns well with the new scheme. His stable depth-chart position and lack of meaningful competition from recent additions suggest he could see a rebound in production.
Risk & schedule
McConkey strained his left hamstring during minicamp, though he expects to be 100% for training camp. The injury risk is heightened by the fact that he has missed no games due to previous foot and toe issues.
Value vs ADP+1 slots of value
Our rank
WR18
vs
Market ADP
WR19
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
WR18 · proj. consensus
Notable
+
Source agreement
±3 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
+
Age / role
age 24 WR
Minor
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 receivers most similar to Ladd McConkey, 2 finished WR1, 1 finished WR2, 4 finished WR3, 3 finished WR4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

20%40%29%
  • WR120%(2)
  • WR211%(1)
  • WR340%(4)
  • WR4+29%(3)
Year-two PPG range13.1 median
8.5p25–p75 11.4–14.721.8
10 most similar players
Jaylen Waddle95%
2023·WR31 · 13.6 PPG
DeVonta Smith88%
2023·WR17 · 14.7 PPG
Zay Flowers83%
2024·WR29 · 12.3 PPG
Brandon Aiyuk81%
2023·WR10 · 14.7 PPG
Jahan Dotson79%
2023·WR53 · 7.3 PPG
CeeDee Lamb76%
2023·WR1 · 23.6 PPG

+4 more analogs

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 24 · ascending
Our view vs Market↓ 9 pts below market
Our view
79
Market
88
Long career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (7 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Usage Trend

    Snap share climbed to a full-time 88-89% down the stretch, but target share cratered in three of the last four games (6-13%) even as the role stayed full-time — a scheme/accuracy issue that must reverse under the new play-caller, not just a snap-count fix.

  • Injury History

    McConkey is nursing a left hamstring strain from spring OTAs; both he and the staff call it minor, but the team's cautious handling (held out of 11-on-11 work in mandatory minicamp) layers onto a pattern of recurring minor lower-body issues (2025 foot, 2024 toe) worth tracking into camp.

  • Target Competition

    Quentin Johnston and a re-signed Keenan Allen sit behind him on the depth chart alongside two receiving tight ends (Njoku, Gadsden), giving LAC's new offense several bodies that could siphon red-zone and early-down looks even though McConkey retains the confirmed WR1 job.

Opportunity Flags

4
  • Scheme Fit

    New OC Mike McDaniel arrives from Miami, where his motion-heavy, YAC-designed passing scheme fueled comparable slot/quick-game profiles — a strong archetypal fit for McConkey after a suppressive 2025 under the prior coordinator.

  • Landing Spot

    An improved offensive line and a full offseason around a healthy Justin Herbert address the two biggest context-driven drags on McConkey's 2025 slump, clearing the runway for a target and efficiency rebound in year 3.

  • Development Path

    Statistical neighbors Jaylen Waddle, DeVonta Smith, and Zay Flowers all posted a 12-15 PPG year-2 season, well above McConkey's context-suppressed 11.0 PPG, suggesting 2025 was an outlier relative to his draft/usage profile rather than his emerging ceiling.

  • Depth Chart

    McConkey has held the confirmed WR1 role since Week 16 with a starter's snap share (78-89%), leaving him best positioned in LAC's receiving corps to capture the new scheme's target growth.

Format Comparison

Ladd McConkey — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest5,067—
PPR SF4,385-682