Kyle Williams

WR · #94

NE · WR · Age 38

Redraft rank

WR118

WR118 · Depth

Tier

Overall

#386

ADP

WR90

Consensus

Tight

Kyle Williams's rookie season was thin, with a PPR WR106 finish (~223 yards), and his path to meaningful volume is narrow behind A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs on the Patriots.

Role & trajectory

Williams saw a modest target share of 4.6% in his rookie season, with an air yard share of 9.2%, indicating limited usage despite rising snap shares.

Projected outlook

As the Patriots added A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs this offseason, Williams's path to meaningful volume is narrow, leaving him as a speculative flex option at best.

Risk & schedule

The addition of A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs significantly limits Williams's upside, with the WR room now featuring two entrenched veterans ahead of him in the depth chart.

Value vs ADP-28 slots (reach)

Our rank

WR118

Market ADP

WR90

Drafted earlier than the projection supports.

What’s driving the season rank

Case against

Projection rank

WR118 · proj. consensus

Notable

ADP value

WR90 ADP · -28 slots

Major

Age / role

age 38 WR

Notable

Neutral: Source agreement

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 receivers most similar to Kyle Williams's 2025 season, 7 finished WR4+, 3 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

70%30%

WR4+70%(7)
Missed season30%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip

70%hang on~4.1 PPG30%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range

0.0p25–p75 0.0–5.18.8

10 most similar players

Jermaine Burton93%

2025Missed the season

Parris Campbell91%

2022WR50 · 8.8 PPG

Miles Boykin90%

2020WR101 · 5.0 PPG

Henry Ruggs88%

2022Missed the season

Anthony Schwartz88%

2022WR152 · 3.1 PPG

James Washington86%

2019WR57 · 8.9 PPG

+4 more analogs

Our read vs. the market

Beta

No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
New England added A.J. Brown (trade) and Romeo Doubs (4-yr FA deal) atop the WR room this offseason, leaving Williams to fight Mack Hollins, DeMario Douglas, Efton Chism and Kayshon Boutte for WR3/slot snaps. His path to meaningful volume is narrow behind two entrenched veterans.
Age Concerns
WR age 37 — approaching decline phase
Usage & Volume
Rookie year was minimal: ~21-27 targets, 12 catches, 223 yards on roughly 31% of snaps, finishing PPR WR106 (3.1 PPG). Playoff run usage stayed low (4-12% target share), so he has yet to prove he can command a rotation role.

Opportunity Flags

Role Expansion
Williams has publicly targeted a 'night and day' Year-2 jump and A.J. Brown has openly raved about him in practices. His breakaway/straight-line speed gives him a vertical 'X' role with ascending QB Drake Maye if he earns trust.
Offensive Context
If New England moves on from Boutte or the veteran depth (Hollins) thins out, Williams is the most likely young option to slide into outside-WR snaps and absorb deep-target work from Maye.

Format Comparison

Kyle Williams — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,205	—
PPR SF	1,025	-180