Risk Flags
2- Usage & Volume2
Even with A.J. Brown sidelined, Williams sits behind Romeo Doubs and Mack Hollins for early-down and possession-target work, capping his floor to boundary/vertical snaps.
Kyle Williams
WR · #94NE · WR · Age 38
FLEX
Kyle Williams's recent trend in snap share indicates a variable role, with his highest usage coming in Week 17 at 85%.
Role & volume
In the last four games before joining NYJ, Williams saw significant variance in his snap share and target share, ranging from a high of 85% snaps to as low as 10%, reflecting an inconsistent role.
Projected role
Given his recent trend with NE and now on NYJ, Williams is projected to have a limited but variable role, likely competing for targets in a crowded receiving corps.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Williams's floor remains low due to inconsistent usage, while his ceiling could be slightly higher if he secures more consistent snaps and targets on NYJ, but this is not guaranteed based on recent trends.
Intel may be outdated · updated 44 days ago
Current statusNE
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)
Opportunity Flags
3- Usage & Volume
A.J. Brown's high-ankle sprain (IR, projected 4+ games out) immediately elevates Williams into expanded boundary/vertical snaps as New England's top healthy deep threat.
- Draft Capital
New England's decision to trade Kayshon Boutte ahead of the season removed a direct competitor for vertical-role snaps, and target share was already trending up before Brown's injury.
- Elite Production
An 18.9 aDOT paired with a strong-armed, ascending QB in Drake Maye gives Williams real weekly touchdown equity whenever he does see volume, even on a limited target diet.
Format Comparison
Kyle Williams — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 1,141 | — |
| PPR SF | 963 | -178 |