Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Kyle Pitts headshot

Kyle Pitts

TE · #8

ATL · TE · Age 25

Redraft rank
TE7
▲TE7 · Every-week starter+8 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T2
Overall
#109
ADP
TE15
Consensus
Tight

Kyle Pitts's fully-guaranteed $15.05M franchise tag for the 2026 season, coupled with his second-team All-Pro performance in 2025, solidifies him as a premium starter at tight end.

Role & trajectory
Kyle Pitts's role is secure with an elite 30% target share and 92% snap rate, indicating he remains the focal point of Atlanta's passing game.
Projected outlook
Pitts projects to maintain his TE7 value rank, driven by a stable role in a historically tight-end friendly scheme under HC Kevin Stefanski.
Risk & schedule
The primary risk is the unsettled quarterback situation with Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa competing for the starting job, which could impact Pitts's rapport-building process and ceiling.
Value vs ADP+8 slots of value
Our rank
TE7
vs
Market ADP
TE15
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
TE7 · proj. consensus
Notable
+
ADP value
TE15 ADP · +8 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-25 tight ends most similar to Kyle Pitts's 2025 season, 6 finished TE1, 2 finished TE2, 2 finished TE3.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

61%19%20%
  • TE161%(6)
  • TE219%(2)
  • TE320%(2)
Next-season PPG range11.7 median
8.1p25–p75 9.6–17.018.6
10 most similar players
Zach Ertz89%
2018·TE2 · 16.7 PPG
Trey McBride87%
2025·TE1 · 18.6 PPG
T.J. Hockenson87%
2023·TE5 · 14.6 PPG
Pat Freiermuth85%
2024·TE9 · 9.6 PPG
Sam LaPorta83%
2025·TE29 · 11.9 PPG
Dallas Goedert81%
2020·TE21 · 10.6 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 10 pts above market
Our view
96
Market
86
High draft pedigreeElite target shareProducing above value

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • QB Dependency

    Atlanta's 2026 starter is unsettled, with Michael Penix Jr. (coming off a knee issue) and newcomer Tua Tagovailoa competing for the job. Pitts must build rapport with a new passer, and a downgrade or in-season QB churn caps his ceiling despite elite usage.

  • Contract Situation

    Pitts is playing 2026 on a one-year, fully guaranteed $15.05M franchise tag with no long-term deal yet; sides have until mid-July to negotiate an extension. CBS Sports has floated lingering trade possibilities, adding situational uncertainty even though his on-field role is secure.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Scheme Fit

    New HC Kevin Stefanski runs historically TE-friendly offenses, and Pitts is arguably the most talented tight end he's ever coached. The scheme upgrade is a real catalyst for a true TE1 ceiling on top of an already-elite 30% target share.

  • Elite Production

    Pitts is coming off a second-team All-Pro 88/928/5 line (TE2 PPR) at just age 25, with game logs confirming usage is holding — 30% target share and 92% snaps both stable across the final four games. Premium young production at a scarce position.

Format Comparison

Kyle Pitts — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,471—
PPR SF3,053-418