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Keon Coleman headshot

Keon Coleman

WR · #91

BUF · WR · Age 23

◆FLEX

Keon Coleman's recent high snap share signals a consistent role, but his WR87 value rank limits upside.

Role & volume
Coleman has seen significant playing time recently, with an average snap share of 54% over the last four games.
Projected role
Despite his recent usage, Coleman's WR87 value rank suggests he is not expected to be a high-volume target or rusher moving forward.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Coleman's floor is set by his lowest PPR points total of 3.6 from the last four games, while his ceiling remains capped at around 14 PPR points based on recent performance and value rank.
Intel may be outdated · updated 3 days ago
Current statusBUF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionAverage target shareAge 23 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 10 pts above market
Our view
54
Market
44
Long career runway

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Target Competition

    DJ Moore's arrival plus Khalil Shakir's entrenched slot role box Coleman into a fixed WR3 spot, with Joshua Palmer and rookie competition behind him leaving little margin for a target-share jump.

  • Usage Trend

    Target share fell across the sample (14% to 11% to 8% to 3% in the last four games) even as snap share held or rose, indicating routes run aren't converting to looks in a make-or-break third season.

  • Injury History

    Coleman sprained his foot/toe in the 2026 preseason opener and wore a walking boot before shedding it ahead of Week 1; he enters the season listed healthy, but the camp interruption cut into his margin to win a bigger role.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Coaching Confidence

    Head coach Joe Brady has publicly credited Coleman with an 'outstanding offseason,' and the team named him a Week 1 starter alongside DJ Moore and Shakir despite the crowded room.

  • Scheme Fit

    Coleman profiles as the vertical/X-receiver complement to Shakir's slot role in an offense quarterbacked by Josh Allen, giving him a distinct big-play lane (aDOT 11.0) even when target share lags.

Format Comparison

Keon Coleman — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,288—
PPR SF1,113-175