Risk Flags
6- Backup QB Status
Pickett is a backup QB on the Raiders behind Gardner Minshew with no clear path to consistent starting opportunities. His trade value of 1166 reflects minimal dynasty relevance for a backup signal-caller.
- Depth Chart
Currently third on the depth chart behind Geno Smith and competing with Aidan O'Connell. Last start (Week 15 vs Eagles) was catastrophic: 15/25, 64 yards, 1 INT, 0 TDs, 4 sacks in a 31-0 loss.
- Poor Performance On Tape
Season stats: 27/41 passing (4.5 YPA) with 1 TD/1 INT across 5 games. Week 18 start vs KC resulted in 1/4, 3 yards, 1 INT in first quarter before being benched. Zero momentum or redeeming qualities demonstrated.
- Catastrophic Performance
Pickett posted disastrous 2025 stats (27/41, 185 yards, 1 TD/1 INT, 4.5 YPA) across 5 games, including a Week 18 benching after 1/4, 3 yards, 1 INT in one quarter. Zero demonstrated value even with opportunity.
- Team Situation
The Raiders fired Pete Carroll after one season and hired Klint Kubiak as new HC. The team is expected to draft Fernando Mendoza 1st overall and may cut Geno Smith, leaving no role for Pickett in Vegas.
- Roster Volatility
Pickett has been on four NFL teams in four years (Steelers → Eagles → Browns → Raiders → Panthers), a pattern that signals he is viewed as a journeyman backup rather than a franchise piece. Teams are not committing long-term resources to him.