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Kendrick Bourne headshot

Kendrick Bourne

WR · #145

ARI · WR · Age 30

Redraft rank
WR108
▲WR108 · Depth+45 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#252
ADP
WR153
Consensus
Some split

Kendrick Bourne's role trajectory suggests a FLEX designation despite his strong baseline stats with SF.

Role & trajectory
Bourne's target and snap share have been declining, indicating a potential shift in usage on the new team.
Rest-of-season outlook
As a WR4 on ARI, Bourne is unlikely to regain his previous role, maintaining FLEX status due to limited upside.
Risk & schedule
The risk lies in inconsistent usage and depth chart movement; however, Bourne's efficiency metrics hold steady.
Value vs ADP+45 slots of value
Our rank
WR108
vs
Market ADP
WR153
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR153 ADP · +45 slots
Major
+
Source agreement
±6 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR108 · proj. consensus
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-30 receivers most similar to Kendrick Bourne's 2025 season, 10 finished WR4+.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

100%
  • WR4+100%(10)
Next-season PPG range5.6 median
2.7p25–p75 3.7–7.58.5
10 most similar players
Noah Brown95%
2025·WR141 · 3.3 PPG
Tim Patrick94%
2025·WR108 · 3.7 PPG
Marquise Goodwin93%
2022·WR81 · 7.5 PPG
Sammy Watkins89%
2022·WR118 · 4.9 PPG
DeVante Parker89%
2022·WR71 · 8.6 PPG
Julio Jones88%
2021·WR78 · 8.4 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume2

    Behind Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson on a rebuilding team with a journeyman QB, Bourne's realistic target share is 5-10% per game — not enough to produce fantasy-relevant output in most weeks.

  • Age Concerns

    At 30.5 years old, Bourne is entering the typical decline phase for wide receivers. His production and role are unlikely to improve from this point forward, making him a depreciating asset in dynasty leagues.

  • Target Competition

    Bourne sits fourth or fifth on the SF depth chart behind Pearsall, Aiyuk, and Jennings — all significantly younger and more valuable — with no realistic path to meaningful usage unless multiple injuries strike ahead of him.

  • Usage & Volume

    Target share has trended sharply downward over the last four weeks (15%→7%→4%→3%), and the season average of 6.1 PPG ranks him WR71 — a clear signal that his role is contracting rather than expanding.

  • QB Dependency

    Arizona released Kyler Murray in March 2026 (now with Vikings), leaving Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew as the 2026 QBs. A WR3 in a Brissett/Minshew offense has near-zero fantasy relevance and severely caps Bourne's target ceiling regardless of scheme.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    Bourne's most productive stints came when Pearsall was sidelined, including back-to-back 142-yard games in Weeks 5 and 6. If Pearsall's health remains fragile, Bourne could spike in value temporarily.

  • WR Room Rebuild

    Brandon Aiyuk is confirmed gone and Jauan Jennings likely departs in free agency, leaving only injury-prone Ricky Pearsall as a guaranteed returnee. Bourne could secure a depth role if the 49ers value veteran continuity.

  • Injury Upside

    If Michael Wilson misses time, Bourne slides into the WR2 role and would see 8-12 targets per game even from a bridge QB — a meaningful but temporary volume spike that could inflate short-term value.

  • Scheme Fit2

    Defenses heavily bracketing Marvin Harrison Jr. could force looks to Bourne underneath, particularly in Arizona's spread-heavy concepts — though this benefit requires a functional passing game to materialize.

  • Mac Jones Chemistry

    Bourne earned Pro Bowl honors with Mac Jones in 2021, and their Foxborough-to-the-Bay reunion proved vital. If Mac Jones retains the starting role, this connection could stabilize Bourne's floor.

Format Comparison

Kendrick Bourne — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest552—
PPR SF456-96