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Kendre Miller headshot

Kendre Miller

RB · #82

NO · RB · Age 24

Redraft rank
RB107
◆RB107 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#535
ADP
RB98
Consensus
Coin flip

Kendre Miller's torn ACL in Week 7 of the 2025 season ends his year, leaving him as a deep-stash dart throw with no realistic path to volume behind established veterans and rookies.

Role & trajectory
Miller's role was expanding slightly before injury, handling more carries than Alvin Kamara in Week 5 (10 carries for 41 yards), but he faces immediate competition from newly-signed Travis Etienne and rookie Devin Neal.
Projected outlook
Our value ranks Miller as RB107, reflecting his low probability of securing meaningful touches behind a crowded backfield in New Orleans.
Risk & schedule
Miller's injury history includes missing 20 games across his first two seasons and playing only six games in 2024 due to a hamstring injury, raising concerns about his ability to stay healthy for an extended period.
Value vs ADP-9 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB107
vs
Market ADP
RB98
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 24 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB107 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB98 ADP · -9 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±91 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 backs most similar to Kendre Miller's 2025 season, 1 finished RB3, 5 finished RB4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%40%
  • RB310%(1)
  • RB4+50%(5)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
60%hang on~5.8 PPG·40%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.18.5
10 most similar players
Malik Davis96%
2023·Missed the season
J.J. Taylor94%
2022·Missed the season
Jordan Mason94%
2023·RB70 · 5.0 PPG
Blake Corum92%
2025·RB34 · 7.1 PPG
Cam Akers92%
2024·RB48 · 6.1 PPG
Kene Nwangwu92%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionStrong carry shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 22 pts above market
Our view
35
Market
13
Long career runwayThin opportunity share

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (11 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns3

    Miller suffered a torn ACL in Sunday's loss to the Bears, which knocks him out for the rest of the 2025 campaign. He could have a chance at making it back for Week 1 of next season, though it will be contingent on him avoiding any setbacks in the long rehab process from surgery.

  • Depth Chart2

    Rookie Devin Neal figures to slot in as the RB2 for the Saints. Neal and other acquisitions represent immediate competition for Miller's 2026 roster spot and role.

  • Role Erasure

    The Kamara succession window was Miller's primary dynasty bull case; Etienne's 4-year commitment at $13M/year directly and durably forecloses that path. The Saints have structurally committed their backfield around Etienne for the foreseeable future.

Opportunity Flags

5
  • Age Concerns

    Miller played a season-high 21 snaps on Sunday before injury, and in Week 5 against the Giants, Miller handled more carries than Alvin Kamara, and Miller played a season-high 39 percent of the snaps with 10 carries for 41 yards and one catch for 8 yards on one target. This demonstrates offensive role expansion was occurring.

  • Trade Candidate

    The Saints' overcrowded backfield makes Miller a logical trade or release candidate. A move to an RB-needy team could substantially revive his dynasty value given his age-23 profile and pre-injury efficiency flashes.

  • Upside Flashes

    Before the ACL, Miller had posted a career-high 193 rushing yards through 7 games and showed touch-efficient upside. That skill set remains latent if he can secure a legitimate opportunity elsewhere.

  • Usage & Volume

    Kamara is 31 and Etienne has his own injury history; an injury ahead of Miller is the lone in-house catalyst for touches, but it is a low-probability lottery ticket.

  • Kamara Succession Window

    Miller could potentially have a longer future in New Orleans than Kamara, especially if he continues running powerfully and effectively. At age 23, Miller has multi-year runway if he can return healthy.

Format Comparison

Kendre Miller — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest818—
PPR SF661-157