Kayshon Boutte

WR · #81

NE · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank

WR93

WR93 · Depth+80 slots of value vs ADP

Tier

Overall

#213

ADP

WR173

Consensus

Coin flip

Kayshon Boutte's reported interest in a trade, coupled with the arrival of A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs, projects him to a rotational role at best.

Role & trajectory

After a breakout season as New England's downfield threat (33-551-6), Boutte faces competition from A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs, pushing him into a rotational role.

Projected outlook

Boutte's 2025 production was driven by efficiency rather than volume (11% target share, 7 TDs on 2.1 expected), making it unlikely to repeat in his reduced role.

Risk & schedule

The addition of A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs to the roster significantly reduces Boutte's touch-share, with beat reporters projecting him for rotational reps at best.

Value vs ADP+80 slots of value

Our rank

WR93

Market ADP

WR173

Projects better than the draft room is paying.

What’s driving the season rank

Case for

ADP value

WR173 ADP · +80 slots

Major

Age / role

age 24 WR

Minor

Case against

Projection rank

WR93 · proj. consensus

Notable

Source agreement

±11 rank σ · 2 sources

Notable

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 receivers most similar to Kayshon Boutte, 1 finished WR3, 9 finished WR4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

92%

WR38%(1)
WR4+92%(9)

Year-two PPG range7.1 median

2.8p25–p75 4.3–9.711.1

10 most similar players

Parker Washington92%

2024WR82 · 7.0 PPG

Isaiah Hodgins78%

2023WR79 · 4.3 PPG

Dyami Brown67%

2023WR90 · 2.7 PPG

Gabe Davis66%

2023WR40 · 10.1 PPG

Joshua Palmer59%

2023WR58 · 10.7 PPG

Marvin Mims57%

2024WR57 · 7.8 PPG

+4 more analogs

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Sell-high — we value him below the market

Why

Average usage productionAverage target shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound

Touchdown-luck regression
Draft-capital pedigree
Opportunity share

Our view vs Market↓ 22 pts below market

Our view

Market

TD rebound upsideLong career runwayLow draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
New England's offseason additions of A.J. Brown (trade from Philadelphia) and Romeo Doubs (4yr/$80M) stack the WR room ahead of Boutte, collapsing him to a WR3/4 role behind two established veterans. His 2025-26 target share was already trending down (12% in the Super Bowl) before the room got deeper.
Role Uncertainty
Boutte skipped OTAs while his name circulated in trade rumors, signaling his standing in the new-look offense is unsettled. His path to meaningful volume in New England is now blocked unless an injury opens it up.
Contract Situation
As a 2023 sixth-round pick, Boutte is on the final year of his rookie deal and risks walking in free agency with little earned role behind Brown and Doubs. A buried contract-year profile caps his dynasty floor.

Opportunity Flags

Change Of Scenery
Active trade interest could land Boutte on a WR-needy team where, at 24, he flashes the route-running and downfield ability (32-yard one-handed TD vs. HOU) that made him a Day 2 prospect. A move to a target-rich offense is the cleanest path back to standalone value.

Format Comparison

Kayshon Boutte — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,428	—
PPR SF	1,165	-263

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

1,428

—

PPR SF

1,165

-263