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KaVontae Turpin headshot

KaVontae Turpin

WR · #151

DAL · WR · Age 29

Redraft rank
WR99
◆WR99 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#239
ADP
WR84
Consensus
Coin flip

KaVontae Turpin's target share of just 4% in structured logs leaves him with near-zero standalone redraft value outside of leagues that score return yards/TDs.

Role & trajectory
Turpin is projected to be the WR5 behind CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Ryan Flournoy, with his target share down to just 4% over the last four games.
Projected outlook
With a PPR finish as WR79 at 5.6 PPG in the previous season, Turpin's offensive role is limited and unlikely to improve given his age and speed-dependent profile.
Risk & schedule
Multiple outlets frame 2026 as a contract-saving year for Turpin, with some even labeling him a 'shocking' cut candidate, further cementing his bench status in redraft leagues.
Value vs ADP-15 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR99
vs
Market ADP
WR84
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR99 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR84 ADP · -15 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±12 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-29 receivers most similar to KaVontae Turpin's 2025 season, 9 finished WR4+, 1 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

90%
  • WR4+90%(9)
  • Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range6.5 median
2.4p25–p75 5.3–6.99.2
10 most similar players
DeAndre Carter85%
2022·WR60 · 6.9 PPG
Kalif Raymond81%
2024·WR109 · 5.2 PPG
Robert Woods79%
2022·WR61 · 6.9 PPG
Sterling Shepard71%
2024·WR94 · 6.2 PPG
Jakeem Grant Sr.68%
2022·Missed the season
Jarvis Landry67%
2022·WR108 · 6.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (6 flags)

Risk Flags

4
  • Target Volume

    Turpin is locked in as the WR4/WR5 behind CeeDee Lamb, franchise-tagged George Pickens (/) and a now-entrenched WR3 Ryan Flournoy; the Lamb-Pickens duo alone commands ~41% of targets, leaving no path to consistent offensive volume.

  • Usage & Volume

    Structured logs show target share down to 4% and snap share down to 16% over the last four games, and he finished as the PPR WR79 at 5.6 PPG — he has never cracked 50 total touches in any of his four NFL seasons.

  • Contract Situation

    Multiple outlets frame 2026 as a contract-saving year and label Turpin a 'shocking' cut candidate; his roster value rests almost entirely on return duties rather than offense.

  • Age Concerns

    At 29, Turpin's value is built on elite speed/return ability, a skill that erodes quickly; any decline removes his lone differentiator since he offers minimal route-based receiving production.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Special Teams Value

    As an All-Pro return man, Turpin retains standalone value in leagues that score return yards/TDs and has the big-play speed to post an occasional spike week on gadget touches.

  • Role Change

    A trade or release landing him on a WR-needy depth chart is his only realistic route to a larger offensive role, though even then his profile caps him as a rotational gadget/slot piece.

Format Comparison

KaVontae Turpin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest502—
PPR SF415-87