Risk Flags
6- Age Concerns3
At 29.4 years old, Johnson is entering the typical decline phase for tight ends. Limited runway remains for sustained dynasty value at the position where peak years are typically 25-28.
- WR Depth Competition
Chris Olave (1,163 yards in 2025) is the clear WR1. With Devaughn Vele and potential draft additions, the Saints are investing heavily in WR depth. Johnson's target share could be diluted if offensive spending shifts away from TE.
- Target Competition
The Saints signed Noah Fant to a 2-year, $8.75M contract in free agency — a legitimate veteran TE who logged 34 catches and 3 TDs with Cincinnati in 2025. Fant is not a depth signing; he directly pressures Johnson's snap share and red-zone targets.
- Offensive Context
New Orleans used the No. 8 overall pick on WR Jordyn Tyson who joins Chris Olave in a significantly upgraded receiver room. With more mouths to feed under a second-year QB managing his progression, Johnson's 15% target share ceiling is compressed.