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Joshua Palmer headshot

Joshua Palmer

WR · #129

BUF · WR · Age 26

▼SIT

Joshua Palmer's recent target share has been too low to justify a START, with his last four games averaging just 7.5% of team targets.

Role & volume
Palmer's trailing average target share is only 7.5%, indicating he is not seeing enough volume to be considered for a START.
Projected role
With Mac Dalena returning, Palmer faces competition for targets and his recent role suggests he will continue to see limited opportunities.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his low target share and the presence of a competing receiver, Palmer's ceiling is too low to warrant a START, with a floor that barely clears replacement level.
Intel may be outdated · updated 3 days ago
Current statusBUF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 26 · ascendingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 16 pts above market
Our view
41
Market
25
Long career runwayTD regression risk

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Target Competition

    Palmer sits at WR4 behind D.J. Moore, Khalil Shakir, and Keon Coleman, with fourth-round rookie Skyler Bell also added to the room, leaving little target volume for a fourth option in Buffalo's passing game.

  • Injury Concerns

    An ankle injury ended his 2025 season on injured reserve before the playoffs and a foot injury cost him time in 2024; recurring lower-body issues remain a swing factor on his availability even though he is healthy entering 2026.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Snap share climbed from 33% to 84% and target share ticked up over the final four games of 2025, a sign his role was widening late in the season even though per-game production stayed marginal.

  • Scheme Fit

    Camp reporting describes Palmer as the most polished route runner in Buffalo's WR room, and Moore's presence pulling coverage attention could open underneath and intermediate opportunities for him.

Format Comparison

Joshua Palmer — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest647—
PPR SF537-110