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Jordan Love headshot

Jordan Love

QB · #14

GB · QB · Age 27

Redraft rank
QB17
•QB17 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#31
ADP
QB19
Consensus
Coin flip

Jordan Love's career-best 2025 season, with a passer rating of 101.2 and 23 touchdowns to just six interceptions, separates him from replacement-level quarterbacks.

Role & trajectory
Love is entrenched as the Packers' franchise QB1 with only journeyman depth behind him, coming off a season where he posted career highs in passing efficiency and touchdowns.
Projected outlook
The 2026 offseason saw continuity in key players like Watson and Reed being extended, while the draft focused on defense. Love's fantasy ceiling is structurally lower due to a run-heavy scheme but could rise if pass volume increases.
Risk & schedule
Love's six interceptions in 2025 were a career high and his concussion history poses a significant risk, especially as he enters the season healthy after shoulder and concussion issues last year.
Value vs ADP+2 slots of value
Our rank
QB17
vs
Market ADP
QB19
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
QB17 · proj. consensus
Notable
+
ADP value
QB19 ADP · +2 slots
Minor
Case against
−
Source agreement
±15 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 age-27 quarterbacks most similar to Jordan Love's 2025 season, 2 finished QB1, 2 finished QB3, 5 finished QB4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → QB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

20%20%49%
  • QB120%(2)
  • QB320%(2)
  • QB4+49%(5)
  • Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range10.4 median
0.5p25–p75 3.5–17.826.5
10 most similar players
Joe Burrow98%
2024·QB6 · 21.9 PPG
Baker Mayfield96%
2022·QB30 · 10.1 PPG
Derek Carr95%
2018·Missed the season
Deshaun Watson95%
2023·QB37 · 14.5 PPG
Dak Prescott92%
2020·QB31 · 27.1 PPG
Tyler Huntley92%
2025·QB46 · 8.0 PPG

+4 more analogs

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (6 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Injury Concerns

    Love suffered a Week 16 concussion vs. Chicago that limited him to 36% snaps that week and cost him Week 17 vs. Baltimore, adding a head injury to a 2025 medical file that also included a thumb procedure and a non-throwing-arm injury.

  • Consistency Risk

    Despite a career-low 6 interceptions and career-best 101.2 rating in 2025, multiple outlets (Athlon, Heavy) flag Love's turnover trend and streaky week-to-week play as the single biggest swing factor for 2026 — his production has come in bursts rather than sustained stretches.

  • Offensive Context

    Green Bay's leading 2025 target Romeo Doubs is no longer in the receiving room, leaving Christian Watson, Matthew Golden, and Jayden Reed to absorb expanded roles without a proven, established WR1 alongside Love.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Offensive Context

    Jayden Reed's contract extension locks in continuity alongside Christian Watson, Matthew Golden, and Tucker Kraft, giving Love one of the more stable and talented skill-position groups of his career entering a third full season as starter.

  • Elite Production

    Love posted a career-best passer rating and his fewest turnovers in a season in 2025, and reporting indicates Green Bay plans to lean on him for even more passing volume in 2026 — a trajectory that supports continued year-over-year growth.

  • Usage & Volume

    Love carries a 95% snap share with zero meaningful competition behind him (Tyrod Taylor, Malik Willis, Clayton Tune, Kyle McCord are all clear backups), giving him one of the safest every-down floors at the position.

Format Comparison

Jordan Love — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest5,059—
PPR 1QB2,639-2,420