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Jonathan Mingo headshot

Jonathan Mingo

WR · #176

DAL · WR · Age 25

Redraft rank
WR164
◆WR164 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#408
ADP
WR116
Consensus
Tight

Jonathan Mingo's WR166 value reflects his limited role in a crowded Dallas receiving corps, with minimal opportunity for consistent fantasy production.

Role & trajectory
Mingo has a snap share of just 24% and an air yards share of only 2.0%, indicating he is buried on the depth chart behind established receivers like CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup.
Projected outlook
Despite being a second-round pick, Mingo has failed to establish himself as a reliable fantasy asset over three seasons with two different teams, catching just 5 of 16 targets for 46 yards in his most recent stint with Dallas.
Risk & schedule
The addition of rookie Anthony Smith and the ongoing competition from Ryan Flournoy further limit Mingo's chances to secure consistent playing time, making him a bench option at best.
Value vs ADP-48 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR164
vs
Market ADP
WR116
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR164 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR116 ADP · -48 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-24 receivers most similar to Jonathan Mingo's 2025 season, 8 finished WR4+, 2 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%20%
  • WR4+80%(8)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.0 median
0.0p25–p75 2.9–6.17.8
10 most similar players
Kalif Raymond93%
2020·WR149 · 3.0 PPG
Parris Campbell91%
2022·WR50 · 8.8 PPG
Jermaine Burton91%
2025·Missed the season
KhaDarel Hodge90%
2020·WR146 · 4.1 PPG
Tyquan Thornton90%
2025·WR85 · 6.7 PPG
Treylon Burks87%
2025·WR130 · 3.6 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Mingo is buried on the Dallas depth chart behind CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, and others. Securing consistent target volume in this crowded WR room remains the primary obstacle to fantasy relevance.

  • Missed Opportunity Window

    Despite getting Dak Prescott to play with this season (a major hypothesized upgrade), Mingo has failed to gain traction, catching just 5 of 16 targets for 46 yards in 8 games last year and earning minimal snaps in 2025.

  • Poor Track Record

    Over three NFL seasons (2023 Carolina, 2024-25 Dallas), Mingo has failed to establish consistent production despite being a second-round pick with elite athleticism, suggesting limited upside potential.

  • Multi System Failure

    As a 2023 second-round pick, Mingo has now failed to establish himself in two separate organizations (Carolina and Dallas) across three NFL seasons. His career totals of 61 catches for 610 yards with zero touchdowns in 38 games indicate a concerning inability to translate athleticism into production.

  • Roster Cut Candidate

    Media reports from January 2026 indicate Dallas may cut Mingo this offseason despite his low $2 million cap hit, with Ryan Flournoy having supplanted him on the depth chart. The Cowboys appear ready to admit the 2024 trade for a fourth-round pick was a mistake.

  • Contract Situation

    2026 is the final year of his rookie deal at a sub-$2M cap charge with zero guaranteed money — analysts note he may not survive to late July without a clear improvement. Pure cut candidate, not a protected asset.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Fresh Start Potential

    Moving to Dallas represents a potential reset where Mingo could benefit from a change of scenery and system. If injuries strike ahead of him, he has demonstrated enough athleticism to step into a role.

  • Physical Tools

    At 24 years old with 6'2" frame, 4.46 speed, and demonstrated route-running ability, Mingo possesses NFL-caliber physical tools that could still develop with consistent opportunity and quarterback confidence.

  • Potential Trade

    At $2 million cap hit with remaining contract control through 2026, a WR-needy team could acquire Mingo cheaply to give him another change-of-scenery opportunity. His elite athleticism (6'2", 4.46 speed) still offers developmental upside for a team willing to invest reps.

  • Injury Concerns

    If injuries strike CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, or other Dallas WRs ahead of him, Mingo would be activated and could flash his athletic traits in an expanded role. However, Ryan Flournoy appears ahead of him even in injury scenarios.

  • Offensive Context

    Below the top three, Dallas' WR room is genuinely murky, so a healthy camp and strong special-teams/blocking work could earn Mingo the WR4 role and spot snaps in three-WR sets.

  • Scheme Fit

    Brian Schottenheimer replaced Mike McCarthy as head coach heading into 2025, potentially creating a fresh opportunity if offensive scheme better fits Mingo's traits.

Format Comparison

Jonathan Mingo — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest670—
PPR SF530-140