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Jaylen Warren headshot

Jaylen Warren

RB · #31

PIT · RB · Age 27

◆FLEX

Jaylen Warren's recent carry share of 58.3% in a single game signals he can dominate the workload when healthy, but his inconsistent usage over the last four games suggests caution.

Role & volume
Warren has shown the ability to lead the team's rushing attack with a carry share of 58.3% in one recent game, indicating he can be the primary ball carrier when healthy.
Projected role
Despite his potential for high-volume games, Warren's inconsistent usage over the last four weeks and his current RB28 value rank suggest a more limited role as the season progresses.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Warren's floor is likely around 6.4 PPR points based on his lowest output in recent games, while his ceiling remains high at over 29 PPR points when he dominates the workload.
Intel may be outdated · updated 4 days ago
Current statusPIT
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionStrong carry shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 9 pts above market
Our view
70
Market
61
TD regression riskLow draft pedigreeElite carry share

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

1
  • Usage & Volume

    Pittsburgh's multi-year free-agent deal for Rico Dowdle produced a near-even preseason rotation, and Warren's target share has trended down over his recent games — the passing-down role that separated him from Dowdle is the part of his profile most exposed under new head coach Mike McCarthy's more run-focused approach.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • TD Regression

    Warren scored 8 touchdowns against an expected 11.2 based on his 2025 red-zone usage, a gap that should normalize positively if his goal-line role holds into 2026.

  • Usage & Volume

    Despite Dowdle's arrival, Pittsburgh opened 2026 with Warren atop the depth chart, and his carry share climbed to roughly two-thirds of Steelers rushing work over his final four games of 2025 — the touch lead hasn't slipped yet.

Format Comparison

Jaylen Warren — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest2,295—
PPR SF1,909-386