Jaylen Waddle

WR · #24

DEN · WR · Age 27

START

Jaylen Waddle's elite rushing volume and high target share with Miami project him to maintain a star-level role on Denver, despite the team change.

Role & volume

Waddle averaged a 21.1% target share over his last four games in Miami, indicating he was a key part of their passing game.

Projected role

Given Waddle's history as a high-volume receiver and runner, his new team Denver is likely to utilize him similarly, keeping him in the WR21 range on our value board.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Waddle's recent injury concerns lower his floor slightly but his elite rushing volume and high target share ceiling ensure he remains a reliable weekly starter.

Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago

Current statusDEN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Strong usage productionElite target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to rebound

Our view vs Market↓ 1 pts below market

Our view

Market

High draft pedigreeElite target shareTD rebound upside

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Target Volume
Courtland Sutton led the Denver WR room in targets last season and remains a red-zone fixture, and a deep WR corps (Mims, Bryant, Franklin) means the target-share ceiling in Denver could land below his prior peak even while holding the WR1 depth-chart spot.

Opportunity Flags

Elite Production
A 0.71 WOPR, 47% air-yards share, and 78% snap rate in his most recent full season reflect a true every-down, primary-target profile that Denver installed him into as the presumptive WR1.
Scheme Fit
Denver's offensive staff has outlined plans built around his vertical speed, which fits a 13.1 aDOT and heavy deep-target usage, pairing him with an established starting QB in Bo Nix.

Format Comparison

Jaylen Waddle — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	4,522	—
PPR SF	3,878	-644

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

4,522

—

PPR SF

3,878

-644