Jaxson Dart

Of the 10 age-22 quarterbacks most similar to Jaxson Dart's 2025 season, 5 finished QB1, 5 finished QB3.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

Dart enters Year 2 as the Giants' unquestioned franchise QB after a rookie season in which he led his draft class in total touchdowns (24) and finished QB15 in 14 games, and he now gets his first full offseason under a new veteran staff of John Harbaugh, Matt Nagy, and Brian Callahan hired to accelerate his development. The front office reinforced his supporting cast with Isaiah Likely, Darnell Mooney, Calvin Austin III, and third-round rookie Malachi Fields while adding no quarterback competition, leaving Jameis Winston and Russell Wilson as pure backups. The main concerns are statistical rather than situational: his 9 rushing TDs came on just 4.6 expected, his carry share is drifting down, and a 2025 concussion plus a reckless running style leave a real recurrence tail; Malik Nabers' second knee procedure also clouds the Week 1 outlook for his top weapon. As a 23-year-old Tier 2 dynasty QB with a stable multi-year runway, the path to top-tier value runs through a passing-volume leap that this staff and roster were built to produce. Verdict: BUY now, before a Year 2 leap prices him into the elite QB tier — and at minimum a firm HOLD through the 2026 season; only consider selling into an early-season rushing-TD heater if you are contending elsewhere.