Risk Flags
6- Injury Concerns3
Williams suffered an ACL tear in October 2024 and is unlikely to be fully available until mid-to-late 2025 season. ACL recovery for RBs typically takes 12+ months, creating significant uncertainty for the 2025 campaign.
- Free Agency Uncertainty
On unrestricted free agent market at age 25.8 with shoulder injury questions. Cowboys have interest but one-year/$3M deal structure indicates non-franchise commitment. Could land elsewhere or get squeezed out by younger draft picks (Blue, Mafah).
- Contract Situation
Williams is an unrestricted free agent with contract negotiations on hold until he hires an agent. Cowboys have expressed interest in a multi-year deal, but salary cap constraints ($48M over cap) and competition from other teams create significant landing spot uncertainty.
- Usage & Volume
Carry share (-30%), snap share (-27%), and target share (-6%) all trended sharply downward over the final weeks of 2025 — a pattern consistent with playing through a shoulder injury. While injury-driven rather than scheme-driven, it creates uncertainty around his early-2026 health status.