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Javonte Williams headshot

Javonte Williams

RB · #20

DAL · RB · Age 26

◆FLEX

Javonte Williams' recent IR placement and inconsistent usage signal a FLEX role for the upcoming season.

Role & volume
Williams has shown variability in his snap share, ranging from 27% to 79% over his last four games, indicating fluctuating involvement.
Projected role
Despite being the primary rusher with a high carry share (up to 70.8%), Williams' inconsistent usage and recent IR placement suggest he will operate as a FLEX option rather than a consistent starter.
Range (floor–ceiling)
His performance in the last four games ranges from 6.3 PPR points to 15.1 PPR points, reflecting a volatile floor and ceiling that align with his RB15 value rank.
Intel may be outdated · updated 5 days ago
Current statusDAL
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Slight buy-low — we value him a bit above the marketSlight
Why
Strong usage productionElite carry shareAge 26 · peak windowTDs due to regress
  • ▲Dynasty age curve
  • ▲Expected fantasy points
  • ▲Opportunity share
Our view vs Market↑ 19 pts above market
Our view
94
Market
75
Elite carry shareProducing above valueTD regression risk

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

1
  • Usage & Volume

    Target share, snap share, and carry share all trended down over the final four games of 2025 despite him holding the RB1 depth-chart spot, and multiple outlets have urged Dallas to manage his workload in 2026 — a signal the bell-cow role could erode week to week.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    HC Brian Schottenheimer has publicly labeled Williams Dallas's 'bell cow' for 2026, the team added no draft capital at running back, and the backup mix (Davis, Demercado, Mafah) is depth-only — his path to a heavy workload is about as clear as it gets.

  • Elite Production

    Williams' red-zone role produced roughly 15.5 expected touchdowns against 13 actual scores in 2025, a modest negative variance that positions him for a positive touchdown-regression bounce if his usage holds.

Format Comparison

Javonte Williams — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,797—
PPR SF3,198-599