Jarrett Stidham
QB · #71DEN · QB · Age 29
Redraft rank
QB49
QB49 · Depth+14 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#440
ADP
QB63
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP+14 slots of value
Our rank
QB49
Market ADP
QB63
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rankMajorNotableNotable
Case for
ADP value
QB63 ADP · +14 slots
Case against
Projection rank
QB49 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±78 rank σ · 2 sources
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence
Of the 6 age-24 quarterbacks most similar to Jarrett Stidham's 2020 season, 1 finished QB2, 1 finished QB3, 1 finished QB4+, 3 missed the season.
Based on just 6 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → QB2 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
18%17%51%
- QB218%(1)
- QB317%(1)
- QB4+14%(1)
- Missed season51%(3)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season outlookcoin-flip
49%hang on~10.1 PPG51%missed timeplayed <4 games
Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.
Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–11.616.0
6 most similar players
Taylor Heinicke95%
2019Missed the season
Jacoby Brissett90%
2019QB22 · 14.5 PPG
Nathan Peterman90%
2019Missed the season
Teddy Bridgewater84%
2019QB31 · 10.1 PPG
Marcus Mariota71%
2020Missed the season
Mason Rudolph67%
2020QB48 · 4.6 PPG
Format Comparison
Jarrett Stidham — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 24 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 14 | -10 |