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QB #67
Jared Goff headshot
Jared Goff headshot

Jared Goff

Tier 5

DET · QB · Age 31

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

3,599Stable

Goff is a structurally secure dynasty QB1, locked in as Detroit's starter through 2028 after a contract restructure and supported by arguably the league's best...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    Goff took 38 sacks in 2025 (career high) with interior OL instability. Offensive line health is critical to his protection and fantasy output going forward.

  • Age Concerns

    At 31.3 years old, Goff is entering the declining phase for QB longevity. While still producing at a high level, his elite production window is narrowing and dynasty managers should prepare for gradual decline in 2-3 years.

  • Offensive Context

    Goff took 38 sacks in 2025 (career high) after Frank Ragnow's retirement created interior OL instability. His performance under pressure ranked just 21st among QBs, with completion percentage dropping to 50.8% when pressured versus 75.9% when clean.

  • Scheme Fit

    New OC Drew Petzing arrives from Arizona known for establishing the run and a balanced attack, which could trim Goff's pass volume versus the high-attempt Lions offenses that produced his QB6/QB9 finishes.

  • Coaching Change

    Ben Johnson's departure to Chicago removes the offensive architect behind Goff's breakout years. New OC Drew Petzing's Arizona scheme was run-heavy with simpler, shorter pass concepts — a meaningful departure from Detroit's previous passing identity that introduces volume uncertainty.

  • Line Stability

    Taylor Decker was released and RT is now Larry Borom (unproven at starter level); LG Christian Mahogany carries fibula fracture and ACL tear history. Despite Penei Sewell anchoring the LT spot, the right side is a meaningful question mark heading into 2026.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Offensive System

    Detroit's high-powered passing scheme under Ben Johnson continues to produce QB1 fantasy output. Goff has thrived in this system with elite weapons like Gibbs, Montgomery, and Amon-Ra St. Brown.

  • Elite Weapons Continuity

    All of Goff's top weapons (Gibbs, St. Brown, Williams, LaPorta, Montgomery) are locked in through at least 2027. This continuity is rare and provides exceptional stability for QB production.

  • Scheme Fit

    Petzing's offense emphasizes heavy personnel, under-center play action, and run game—a perfect fit for Goff's strengths. Petzing ranked 2nd in NFL in rushing average (4.92 YPC) in Arizona and developed Trey McBride into an elite TE, suggesting LaPorta could see increased usage.

  • Offensive Context

    Goff retains the most complete supporting cast in the NFC: Amon-Ra St. Brown (7609), Jahmyr Gibbs (9407), Sam LaPorta (4744), and a maturing Jameson Williams (4508). This top-3 weapons room is the single biggest floor-raiser for his dynasty value.

  • Elite Production

    Goff has finished top-10 in QB scoring in each of the last four seasons and led all QBs with 101 TDs since 2023. His PPR rank of QB9 in 2025 (17.5 PPG) reflects a floor that is exceptional for a dynasty asset.

  • Job Security

    Detroit restructured his deal for 2026 cap space and he's under contract through 2028 with zero same-position competition on the roster or in the draft (only a R5 WR added), so his role is fully secure.

Scenarios (4)
  • Steady Top-10 Floorlikely+0%

    Petzing retains enough volume; elite weapons keep efficiency high

  • Petzing Play-Action Ceilingpossible+12%

    Balanced run game opens explosive play-action; Goff finishes QB5-7 again

  • Run-First Volume Dippossible-15%

    Petzing leans heavily on Gibbs/Pacheco, cutting Goff's attempts and pushing him toward QB12-15

  • Age-Driven Erosionunlikely-30%

    Decline or injury as the 2028 contention window closes

Format Comparison

Jared Goff — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest3,599—
PPR 1QB2,114-1,485