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Jameson Williams headshot

Jameson Williams

WR · #29

DET · WR · Age 25

▲START

Jameson Williams' recent four-game average of a 19% target share underscores his consistent role as the primary receiver for Detroit.

Role & volume
Over his last four games, Jameson Williams averaged a 91% snap share and a 14.4 PPR points per game, indicating he is heavily involved in the offense.
Projected role
Despite being ranked as WR26 on our value board, Williams' recent practice status improvements suggest he will maintain his primary receiver role for Detroit.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Williams has shown a range from 5.7 to 26.4 PPR points in his last four games, indicating a reliable floor with upside potential.
Intel may be outdated · updated 5 days ago
Current statusDET
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionStrong target shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 4 pts above market
Our view
82
Market
78
TD rebound upsideHigh draft pedigreeLong career runway

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (6 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • TD Regression Risk

    Williams scored 7 touchdowns against 4.2 expected in 2025 (+2.8), a finishing-luck gap that projects to normalize and could deflate his fantasy scoring even if his underlying role holds.

  • Target Volume

    Amon-Ra St. Brown remains the entrenched WR1, and Detroit's run-leaning offense (PROE -5%) caps the size of the passing-game pie, limiting how much target share Williams can realistically claim.

  • Usage Volatility

    His target share swung from 10% to 26% across his final four 2025 games, indicating a role that is still game-flow and matchup dependent week to week rather than a locked-in target floor.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Offensive Context

    Williams owns 36% of Detroit's air yards at a 12.6 aDOT with a 90% full-season snap share, establishing him as the offense's clear primary downfield weapon.

  • Contract Situation

    Williams signed a three-year extension with Detroit in September 2025, securing his standing in the passing-game hierarchy beyond the 2026 season and removing near-term trade or roster-cut risk.

  • Usage & Volume

    His season-long 2025 target-share trend was rising, and the 2026 draft's only same-position pick, Round 5 rookie Kendrick Law, opened camp on injured reserve, leaving Williams' path to volume clear for now.

Format Comparison

Jameson Williams — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,751—
PPR SF3,219-532