Ja'Marr Chase
WR · #1CIN · WR · Age 26
Redraft rank
WR2
WR2 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#7
ADP
WR2
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
WR2
Market ADP
WR2
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorNotable
Case for
Projection rank
WR2 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±3 rank σ · 2 sources
Neutral: ADP value, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
30%20%20%30%
- WR130%(3)
- WR220%(2)
- WR320%(2)
- WR4+30%(3)
Next-season PPG range14.2 median
8.9p25–p75 11.9–16.821.1
10 most similar players
Michael Thomas90%
2019WR1 · 22.9 PPG
Garrett Wilson88%
2025WR66 · 14.2 PPG
Jarvis Landry88%
2019WR17 · 14.8 PPG
Jakobi Meyers88%
2023WR28 · 13.7 PPG
Diontae Johnson88%
2022WR33 · 10.6 PPG
Justin Jefferson88%
2025WR22 · 11.8 PPG
+4 more analogs
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite target shareAge 26 · ascending
Our view vs Market↓ 1 pts below market
Our view
99
Market
100
High draft pedigreeProducing above valueElite target share
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Format Comparison
Ja'Marr Chase — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 10,000 | — |
| PPR SF | 9,651 | -349 |