Risk Flags
6- Impending Free Agency
Tolbert is an unrestricted free agent in 2026 and is widely expected to depart Dallas after being a healthy scratch in four of the final six games in 2025. Dynasty consensus predicts he leaves the Cowboys with uncertain landing spot and role.
- Role Regression
After a career-best 2024 campaign (49-610-7), Tolbert cratered in 2025 with just 18 catches for 203 yards in 13 games, falling behind Flournoy, Turpin, and Mingo on the depth chart. His development trajectory has completely stalled.
- Target Volume
Dallas WR room features CeeDee Lamb (All-Pro) and George Pickens (1,429 yards, Pro Bowl) as locked-in top options, plus emerging Flournoy and versatile Turpin ahead of Tolbert. No path to meaningful volume in 2026 if he remains.
- Incoming Competition
Miami is expected to invest significant 2026 NFL Draft capital at WR to fill the void left by Tyreek Hill's release and Jaylen Waddle's trade to Denver. Early-round rookie WRs would immediately threaten Tolbert's role.
- QB Uncertainty
Malik Willis is Miami's projected 2026 starter but has negligible full-game experience at QB1. His passing volume, accuracy under pressure, and ability to sustain a pass-friendly attack are all unproven — depressing the ceiling for every MIA pass-catcher.
- Depth Chart Clarity
Miami drafted three WRs in 2026 (Douglas, Bell, Coleman) on top of Waddle, Malik Washington and Tutu Atwell; Tolbert is on a cheap 1-year prove-it deal and has been openly labeled a potential cut candidate, leaving his roster spot — let alone snaps — in genuine doubt.