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Jalen Tolbert headshot

Jalen Tolbert

WR · #125

MIA · WR · Age 27

◆FLEX

Jalen Tolbert's recent trend in target share, despite volatility, signals a role that could be leveraged for fantasy points on his new team MIA.

Role & volume
Tolbert's trailing four-game average of 7.4% target share indicates he was seeing significant pass involvement before the trade, despite inconsistent performance.
Projected role
Moving to MIA, Tolbert is expected to maintain a similar or enhanced role given his status as a traded star player who typically retains high value on new teams.
Range (floor–ceiling)
With the potential for increased usage and opportunity in Miami, Tolbert's floor remains low due to recent inconsistency but has a higher ceiling if he can stabilize his role.
Intel may be outdated · updated 7 days ago
Current statusMIA
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionStrong target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 8 pts above market
Our view
28
Market
20
Thin opportunity share

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Draft Capital

    Miami used three 2026 draft picks on wide receivers (Caleb Douglas and Chris Bell in Round 3, Kevin Coleman in Round 5), signaling the front office isn't betting on Tolbert long-term even though he currently sits ahead of all three on the depth chart.

  • Target Volume

    Tolbert's target share never cleared high single digits in his final Dallas season (6% on the year, and 0-4% in three of his last four games), so even a clearer role starts from a very low production floor.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Miami's WR room lost both of its top options this offseason, and Tolbert enters as WR2 behind Malik Washington and ahead of three rookies; fringe-role movers with his prior usage profile have historically posted meaningfully higher floors and steadier week-to-week usage after landing a defined role.

  • Scheme Fit

    Tolbert has a pre-existing relationship with Malik Willis, reportedly a factor in the signing, which could help him earn early trust in the passing game as Miami's offense resets around a new starting QB.

Format Comparison

Jalen Tolbert — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest770—
PPR SF632-138