Jalen Nailor

WR · #84

LV · WR · Age 27

FLEX

Jalen Nailor's recent trend in target share, despite volatility, signals a role that could be leveraged on his new team, Las Vegas.

Role & volume

Nailor averaged an 11.7% target share over the last four games with Minnesota, indicating he was seeing significant pass-game involvement.

Projected role

Moving to Las Vegas, Nailor is expected to maintain or even improve his WR62 value rank, suggesting a consistent role in the passing game on his new team.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Given his recent trend and new opportunity, Nailor's floor remains low due to inconsistency but has a ceiling as a mid-tier WR with solid weekly upside.

Intel may be outdated · updated 4 days ago

Current statusLV

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Average usage productionAverage target shareAge 27 · peak window

Our view vs Market↓ 10 pts below market

Our view

Market

Low draft pedigree

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (2 flags)

Risk Flags

QB Situation
Fernando Mendoza profiles as the higher-end option under center with Cousins in a depth role, so Nailor's route rapport and target volume depend on an unproven rookie passer rather than the established Cousins connection some outlets have played up.

Opportunity Flags

Contract Situation
Las Vegas's three-year free-agent investment in Nailor, signed in March 2026, signals coaching-staff intent to feature him early in the passing game rather than treat him as camp-body depth.

Format Comparison

Jalen Nailor — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,393	—
PPR SF	1,216	-177

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