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Jalen McMillan headshot

Jalen McMillan

WR · #60

TB · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank
WR62
•WR62 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#171
ADP
WR62
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
WR62
vs
Market ADP
WR62
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 24 WR
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR62 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±13 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 receivers most similar to Jalen McMillan, 1 finished WR1, 1 finished WR2, 3 finished WR3, 5 finished WR4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

30%48%
  • WR112%(1)
  • WR210%(1)
  • WR330%(3)
  • WR4+48%(5)
Year-two PPG range11.4 median
5.9p25–p75 7.4–13.814.7
10 most similar players
Jahan Dotson88%
2023·WR53 · 7.3 PPG
Brandon Aiyuk85%
2023·WR10 · 14.7 PPG
Jayden Reed76%
2024·WR30 · 11.4 PPG
Zay Flowers76%
2024·WR29 · 12.3 PPG
Dontayvion Wicks74%
2024·WR70 · 6.5 PPG
DeVonta Smith74%
2023·WR17 · 14.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

McMillan enters 2026 as Tampa Bay's nominal WR3 behind ascending WR1 Emeka Egbuka and aging WR2 Chris Godwin, but his outlook brightened materially with Mike Evans departing for the 49ers, vacating a large perimeter target share in Baker Mayfield's offense. Multiple June 2026 reports confirm he is fully recovered from the serious 2025 preseason neck injury (three fractured vertebrae, two herniated discs) that limited him to four games, and he flashed real upside with a 7-114 line against Miami in Week 17. The two key concerns are durability after a frightening neck injury and target competition, as Tampa added R3 rookie Ted Hurst and Eric Rivers to an already crowded room. At a tier-5 value and age 24, he is a reasonable speculative buy/hold for dynasty managers betting on the Evans vacancy and a Godwin decline; the cost is low enough that the WR2 upside justifies holding through 1-2 years. Recommendation: HOLD with mild buy-low interest, 1-2 year window.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury Concerns

    McMillan suffered three fractured vertebrae and two herniated discs in the 2025 preseason, limiting him to four games; he is reported fully healed and practicing in OTAs as of June 2026, but a serious neck injury raises long-term durability questions for a player with limited career snaps.

  • Target Volume

    Ascending WR1 Emeka Egbuka and veteran Chris Godwin sit ahead of him, and Tampa spent a 2026 third-round pick on WR Ted Hurst plus added rookie Eric Rivers, compressing the path to a stable WR2 target share.

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Usage & Volume

    Mike Evans signed with the 49ers, vacating a high-volume outside role; with Godwin aging and injury-prone, McMillan (age 24, healthy) has a clear runway to absorb perimeter targets and ascend to WR2 in Baker Mayfield's offense.

Format Comparison

Jalen McMillan — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,833—
PPR SF1,562-271