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Jalen McMillan headshot

Jalen McMillan

WR · #63

TB · WR · Age 24

◆FLEX

Jalen McMillan's recent target share has been inconsistent, with a high of 20.5% in Week 17 but dropping to just 4.5% in the most recent game.

Role & volume
McMillan's trailing average target share is only 10.8%, indicating he is not consistently seeing a high volume of targets.
Projected role
With Jha'Quan Jackson returning, McMillan's role and target share are now contested, reducing his reliability as a weekly starter.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his recent inconsistency and the competition for targets, McMillan projects to have a low floor of 2.1 PPR points but could ceiling at around 18.4 PPR points based on his highest recent performance.
Intel updated: 1 day ago
Current statusTB
Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Injury History

    A camp knee injury has left McMillan limited in practice and doubtful/out to open the season, layering onto a 2025 neck issue that already cut into his availability — this is now a recurring pattern, not a one-off.

  • Target Competition

    Emeka Egbuka has emerged as the clear top read on the depth chart, and Chris Godwin still commands slot volume, which caps McMillan's ceiling as anything more than the third option in the passing game.

  • Usage Volatility

    Target share has swung wildly across his last four outings (20% down to 5%) even as snap share climbed toward 55%, signaling he's on the field but not yet a consistent focal point of the offense.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Landing Spot

    Mike Evans's departure ahead of the 2026 season vacated the outside X role, and McMillan is now the presumptive starter there in a Baker Mayfield-led offense that has historically fed its X receiver.

  • Buy-Low Window

    The camp knee injury and missed time have likely softened his market price just as the post-Evans role opportunity is opening up, creating a window to acquire him below his outlook.

Format Comparison

Jalen McMillan — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,736—
PPR SF1,467-269