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QB #21
Jalen Hurts headshot
Jalen Hurts headshot

Jalen Hurts

Tier 3

PHI · QB · Age 27

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

6,362Stable

Hurts remains Philadelphia's unquestioned QB1 at 27, finishing 2025 as PPR QB8 (18.4 PPG) despite a career-worst rushing-TD output (8, down from 14).

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Offensive Personnel

    AJ Brown is expected to be traded to the Patriots after June 1 for cap-split reasons, removing Hurts' best receiver and primary safety valve. The replacement room of Dontayvion Wicks, Hollywood Brown, and Elijah Moore represents a dramatic step down in caliber.

  • Team Situation

    Hurts has been the source of 'internal frustration' in Philadelphia, with some NFL sources suggesting the Eagles may draft a quarterback this spring. There is 'a sense inside the locker room that the Eagles' powerbrokers are reluctant to criticize Hurts,' yet he has been 'the source of much internal frustration, including from teammates'.

  • Scheme Fit

    New OC Sean Mannion is installing a Shanahan/McVay-style system requiring under-center snaps, pre-snap motion, and play-action timing — precisely what Hurts reportedly resisted under the prior staff. CBS Sports documented 'rigid preferences' and pushback on coaching adjustments, raising legitimate execution risk for the new offense.

  • Internal Friction

    Reports indicate Hurts was 'a source of frustration in some pockets of the organization' in 2025, and A.J. Brown's relationship with the team remains 'tenuous' amid potential trade discussions at the NFL Combine. Locker room chemistry concerns could impact offensive cohesion.

  • Organizational Friction

    Reports of Hurts' 'rigid preferences' and unwillingness to adjust to new OC Sean Mannion's motion/play-action system have prompted Jeffrey Lurie to frame 2026 as a 'critical year.' This is a meaningful red flag — organizational patience is finite, and a poor 2026 could accelerate a pivot.

  • Offensive Context

    A.J. Brown was traded to New England on June 1, 2026 (he averaged a 30%+ target share three straight years); Hurts loses his alpha target with DeVonta Smith, rookie Makai Lemon, Hollywood Brown and Elijah Moore now leading a reshuffled, less-proven receiver room.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Elite Rushing Upside

    No proposal to ban the tush push was even submitted at the 2026 spring meetings, locking in Hurts' goal-line rushing role for next season. The play remains a unique, defense-proof TD-floor mechanism unavailable to nearly every other dynasty QB.

  • Elite Receiver Core

    Hurts completed 19 of 23 passes for 326 yards and three touchdowns against Minnesota with a perfect 158.3 passer rating, showcasing chemistry with elite passing partners. The listed weapons (A.J. Brown 4692 value, DeVonta Smith 4642 value, Saquon Barkley 4811 value) remain intact.

  • New Offensive Coordinator

    Hurts and the Eagles will head into the 2026 season looking to rebound with a new offensive coordinator in Sean Mannion. Hurts clearly has strengths that were not utilized in 2025 and the coaching change could unlock those.

  • Scheme Modernization

    Sean Mannion brings connections to the Shanahan/McVay offensive tree, which could unlock Hurts' strengths with more pre-snap motion and modern concepts. The Eagles clearly want to push the offense in a 'more modern direction' after ranking 24th in yards per game.

  • Elite Weapons Intact

    Despite A.J. Brown trade rumors, Hurts retains elite offensive weapons including Brown (4692 value), DeVonta Smith (4642), and Saquon Barkley (4811), providing a foundation for potential offensive resurgence under new coordinator.

  • Elite Rushing Floor

    Hurts has posted double-digit rushing touchdowns in four of his last five seasons and has not finished worse than QB9 in that span. His rushing floor provides a weekly baseline few QBs can match.

Scenarios (4)
  • Rushing floor + tush push hold, stable QB1likely+0%

    Tush push remains legal and Hurts retains goal-line carries under Mannion

  • Mannion unlocks designed-run bounce-backpossible+12%

    New scheme restores 12+ rushing TDs and DeVonta/Lemon absorb Brown's targets efficiently

  • Brown loss + new-scheme friction drives regressionpossible-18%

    Passing volume craters without an alpha WR and rushing TDs stay depressed, dropping him to back-end QB1

  • Age-driven rushing decline erodes core valueunlikely-25%

    Hurts (28+) loses designed-run usage to protect his body, removing the rushing-TD edge

Format Comparison

Jalen Hurts — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest6,362—
PPR 1QB3,997-2,365