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Jaleel McLaughlin headshot

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · #95

DEN · RB · Age 25

Redraft rank
RB103
◆RB103 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#569
ADP
RB76
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-27 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB103
vs
Market ADP
RB76
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB103 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB76 ADP · -27 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-25 backs most similar to Jaleel McLaughlin's 2025 season, 6 finished RB4+, 4 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

60%40%
  • RB4+60%(6)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range1.1 median
0.0p25–p75 0.0–4.85.1
10 most similar players
Elijah Mitchell96%
2024·Missed the season
Mike Boone94%
2021·Missed the season
JaMycal Hasty93%
2021·RB75 · 4.8 PPG
Darwin Thompson92%
2021·Missed the season
Jordan Mason92%
2023·RB70 · 5.0 PPG
Emanuel Wilson91%
2025·RB49 · 5.3 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

McLaughlin is firmly entrenched at the bottom of one of the NFL's deepest backfields, re-signed on a veteran-minimum one-year deal as no better than the RB4 behind J.K. Dobbins (RB1), RJ Harvey (ascending Year-2 pass-catcher), and 2026 fourth-round pick Jonah Coleman. His structured usage confirms the bearish read: snap and carry share trended down to the mid-teens even during Denver's deep playoff run, and he finished as the PPR RB76. The only realistic standalone-value path is Dobbins' chronic injury history (significant time missed five straight years), but even then Harvey and Coleman are ahead in the pecking order for vacated touches. Draft capital and contract status both point against him carving out a role. This is a sell/hold-at-zero-cost asset — at Tier 7 (~1206) value he is essentially a lottery-ticket handcuff, so move him for any pick or depth piece if a manager values the Denver backfield, otherwise hold as a free dart and monitor camp/injury news through next season.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionStrong carry shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 21 pts above market
Our view
21
Market
0
Long career runwayThin opportunity shareLow draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart2

    McLaughlin operates as Denver's clear RB3 behind RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins, averaging under 25% of offensive snaps. He was out-touched 19-7 by Harvey in Week 16 and has yet to exceed seven touches in a game all season.

  • Restricted Free Agency

    McLaughlin enters the 2026 offseason as a restricted free agent with no guaranteed contract. With RJ Harvey under contract and Denver's crowded backfield, his return to the Broncos is uncertain, and he could be pushed out entirely.

  • Contract Situation

    His near-minimum 1-year re-sign is the contract of a camp body, not a depth contributor with job security. With Jonah Coleman drafted to fill exactly the change-of-pace/receiving niche McLaughlin occupies, he is a serious cut candidate before or during training camp.

  • Usage & Volume

    Snap share and carry share are both trending DOWN over the last four games (14–22% snaps, 2–9% target share), confirming McLaughlin is moving toward roster irrelevance rather than an expanded role.

  • Camp Cut Risk

    On a non-guaranteed minimum contract with four backs ahead of him plus other camp bodies (Schrader, Vaughn), McLaughlin is a genuine cut candidate before Week 1 with no path to standalone value.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Role Expansion2

    If Williams is moved or injured, McLaughlin could step into a featured role in Denver's offense under new leadership direction, creating significant upside.

  • Efficiency Metrics

    McLaughlin has demonstrated elite efficiency when given opportunities, averaging 5.1 YPC in 2025 and 7.1 yards per touch over his final three regular season games despite minimal volume. Local media advocated for feeding him more touches down the stretch.

  • Dobbins Uncertainty

    J.K. Dobbins is an unrestricted free agent with a serious injury history (Lisfranc injury in November 2025, never played a full 17-game season). If he departs or re-injures, McLaughlin could step into a backup role with increased opportunity behind Harvey.

  • Injury Upside

    J.K. Dobbins has a severe injury history (multiple ACL tears), making him a legitimate injury risk even in 2026. If Dobbins misses significant time, McLaughlin is the first credible option ahead of Badie, though Harvey would likely absorb the bulk.

  • Harvey Limitations

    RJ Harvey struggled with consistency as a lead back (3.9 YPC, rough AFC Championship performance) and drop issues (7 total drops). McLaughlin's superior vision and efficiency could earn him more two-back system work if Harvey continues to struggle.

Format Comparison

Jaleel McLaughlin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest826—
PPR SF672-154