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Jakobi Meyers headshot

Jakobi Meyers

WR · #56

JAX · WR · Age 29

Redraft rank
WR39
•WR39 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#113
ADP
WR38
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR39
vs
Market ADP
WR38
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Source agreement
±1 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR39 · proj. consensus
Notable
Neutral: ADP value, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-29 receivers most similar to Jakobi Meyers's 2025 season, 1 finished WR1, 5 finished WR4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

51%39%
  • WR110%(1)
  • WR4+51%(5)
  • Missed season39%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
61%hang on~4.9 PPG·39%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.910.4
10 most similar players
Chris Conley94%
2022·WR169 · 2.1 PPG
Stefon Diggs90%
2025·WR9 · 11.5 PPG
Breshad Perriman88%
2022·WR143 · 2.9 PPG
Robert Woods88%
2022·WR61 · 6.9 PPG
Dede Westbrook87%
2022·Missed the season
Mike Thomas85%
2022·WR171 · 1.9 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Meyers is Jacksonville's stable possession WR2/slot, locked in on a 3-year, $60M extension (through 2028) after the midseason 2025 trade from Las Vegas, and Liam Coen and Trevor Lawrence have publicly endorsed a bigger 2026 role with a full offseason in the system. The structured data confirms an elite snap floor (94-96% late) but a soft target share (13% in the Wild Card loss, trending down) and a capped WR35 / 10.5 PPG profile. A genuine positive update: Travis Hunter is shifting more toward defense in 2026, which reduces — rather than adds — same-position competition, and the only WR draft additions (R6 Cameron/Williams) are non-threats; the real ceiling-cap is Brian Thomas Jr.'s alpha status plus Parker Washington's late-season breakout. The dominant concern remains age: he turns 30 in November 2026, and dynasty value for a possession WR2 erodes regardless of role security. Recommendation: SELL/soft-sell into any contender demand now while the role narrative is strong — this is a productive veteran whose dynasty value only goes down from here; rebuilders should cash out, contenders can HOLD as a reliable starter.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionStrong target shareAge 29 · window closingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 9 pts above market
Our view
65
Market
56
Age-curve riskLow draft pedigreeTD regression risk

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume3

    Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter are higher-priority receivers. With Travis Hunter returning from injury next season, competition for volume will intensify despite Meyers' contract security.

  • Age Concerns2

    At 29.2 years old, Meyers is firmly in the WR decline phase. With most of his career production behind him and a realistic 2-3 year window, asset preservation is urgent.

  • Target Competition

    Brian Thomas Jr. is the entrenched WR1, Parker Washington owns the slot role (led team in slot snaps when all three WRs played), and Travis Hunter — even in a CB-primary role — adds depth. Meyers is confined to an outside alignment that limits his share ceiling.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Sell Window Closing

    With a trade value and borderline WR2/flex status, this is the optimal window to trade Meyers for future assets before age-related decline accelerates further.

  • Established Role

    Signed 3-year/$60M extension with $40M guaranteed through 2028, cementing roster role. Coach Liam Coen praised chemistry; Trevor Lawrence called him 'easy guy to throw to.' Legitimate WR2 target in proven scheme.

  • QB Stability

    Trevor Lawrence is MVP finalist coming off best season and coaching continuity is locked in (Udinski/Campanile returning). First healthy offseason for Lawrence means more consistency targeting Meyers.

  • Contract Security

    Meyers signed a 3-year/$60M extension ($40M guaranteed) through 2028 in December 2025, cementing his role as a core piece. Coach Liam Coen praised his chemistry with Trevor Lawrence, ensuring target floor stability.

  • QB Ascension

    Trevor Lawrence finished 5th in 2025 MVP voting with 4,007 yards, 29 passing TDs, and career-best efficiency. With offensive continuity (Udinski/Campanile returning) and Lawrence's best season, Meyers benefits from elite QB play entering 2026.

  • Competition Relief

    Hunter's LCL recovery and the Jaguars' explicit plan to emphasize his CB role in 2026 clears the lane for Meyers to operate as the clear WR2 this entire season with minimal depth chart pressure from above.

Format Comparison

Jakobi Meyers — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest2,004—
PPR SF1,702-302