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TE #248
Jake Tonges headshot
Jake Tonges headshot

Jake Tonges

Tier 13

SFO · TE · Age 26

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,027Declining

Jake Tonges remains a contingent-value backup TE whose worth is tethered to George Kittle's torn-Achilles recovery, but two offseason developments modestly...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    SF has Jauan Jennings and George Kittle ahead on the depth chart, limiting consistent target volume for Tonges as a backend tight end option.

  • Kittle Dependency

    Tonges' entire dynasty value is contingent on Kittle's absence — when healthy, Kittle commands near-full usage at the position and Tonges' target share collapses from 22-27% to under 10%. This hard ceiling caps Tonges as a situational asset, not a dynasty cornerstone.

  • Injury Concerns

    Tonges suffered plantar fascia in the team's Divisional Round loss against the Seahawks and is expected to miss the next few weeks. This compounds the uncertainty around his offseason availability.

  • Kittle Early Return

    George Kittle is targeting a Week 1 return from his Achilles tear after receiving SpeedBridge surgery with a 6-10 month recovery timeline, which would eliminate Tonges' path to consistent volume much sooner than initially projected.

  • Minimal Backup Role

    When Kittle returned in 2025, Tonges saw just 12% of snaps with zero targets, demonstrating he has no role when the starter is healthy in Kyle Shanahan's offense.

  • Depth Chart Competition

    Kittle is targeting a return potentially near the 2026 regular-season opener despite a January 2026 Achilles tear; even if delayed, Tonges' window as a starter is finite and predictable. His 2025 production split (22/209/2 TD in 5 Kittle-out games vs. 5/24/2 TD in 10 Kittle-active games) illustrates the binary nature of his value.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Kittle Achilles Severity

    With Kittle expected to miss roughly half of the 2026 season, the 49ers need a tight end who can step in and shoulder meaningful snaps, and Tonges has already shown he can handle that responsibility.

  • Proven When Activated

    Tonges finished the 2025 season with 293 yards and five touchdowns on 34 receptions, and averaged 4.8 receptions and 44.8 yards with three touchdowns in the six games that Kittle was inactive.

  • 2026 Starter Potential

    If Kittle's recovery extends beyond Week 1 or he suffers setbacks, Tonges would step into a starting role with elite QB play from Brock Purdy in one of the NFL's best offensive schemes.

  • Injury Upside

    Kittle's January 2026 Achilles tear carries a 9-12 month medical consensus timeline, meaning Tonges is likely the 49ers' TE1 for the first 4-8 weeks of the 2026 season in a top-5 offense. Even a 'best-case' Kittle return carries risk of setback, extending Tonges' window.

  • Proven Kittle Replacement

    Tonges averaged 4.8 receptions and 44.8 yards with three touchdowns in six games without Kittle in 2025, posting a 126.4 passer rating when targeted, demonstrating legitimate fantasy upside when given opportunity.

  • Contract Security

    Tonges signed a 2-year, $8M deal ($5.5M guaranteed) confirming the 49ers view him as the successor-in-waiting, not just emergency depth. The contract provides dynasty roster stability and signals front-office confidence through at least 2027.

Scenarios (4)
  • Kittle returns Week 1, Tonges reverts to TE2likely-15%

    Kittle cleared for Week 1 after ahead-of-schedule Achilles rehab

  • Kittle misses early games, Tonges startspossible+25%

    Kittle held out into September; Tonges opens as the SF starting TE

  • Kittle setback opens extended windowunlikely+40%

    Re-injury or slow Achilles recovery sidelines Kittle for half the season

  • Tonges inherits TE1 role as Kittle ages outunlikely+35%

    Kittle retirement/decline with Tonges re-signed and entrenched

Format Comparison

Jake Tonges — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,170—
PPR SF1,027-143