Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · #2DET · RB · Age 24
Redraft rank
RB2
RB2 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#4
ADP
RB1
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB2
Market ADP
RB1
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorMinorMinor
Case for
Projection rank
RB2 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±4 rank σ · 2 sources
Age / role
age 24 RB
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameLow confidence
Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → RB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
39%21%20%20%
- RB139%(4)
- RB221%(2)
- RB4+20%(2)
- Missed season20%(2)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season PPG range14.0 median
0.0p25–p75 7.5–20.821.5
10 most similar players
Breece Hall92%
2025RB23 · 13.0 PPG
Leonard Fournette89%
2018RB40 · 15.1 PPG
Saquon Barkley86%
2020Missed the season
Christian McCaffrey86%
2020Missed the season
Ezekiel Elliott85%
2019RB5 · 19.5 PPG
Kareem Hunt83%
2018RB12 · 20.9 PPG
+4 more analogs
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite carry shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs MarketIn line with market
Our view
99
Market
99
TD rebound upsideHigh draft pedigreeProducing above value
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Format Comparison
Jahmyr Gibbs — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 9,918 | — |
| PPR SF | 9,046 | -872 |