Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · #2DET · RB · Age 24
Redraft rank
RB2
RB2 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#4
ADP
RB1
Consensus
Some split
Jahmyr Gibbs enters the 2026 season as a PPR RB3 with an 18% target share, making him one of the most valuable running backs in redraft leagues.
Role & trajectory
Gibbs is projected to maintain his role as Detroit's primary ball carrier and pass catcher, with a carry share of 56.1% and a snap share expected to rise from 67% towards 75%, solidifying his status as the team's bell cow.
Projected outlook
With an established track record of high-volume usage and scoring efficiency, Gibbs is poised for another elite season in a run-heavy offense that projects to funnel even more volume through him due to limited competition at running back.
Risk & schedule
The risk lies in his recent hamstring scare during practice and the potential for touchdown regression after scoring 18 touchdowns on only 12.2 expected invites last season, which could impact his per-game scoring output despite increased workload.
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB2
Market ADP
RB1
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorMinorMinor
Case for
Projection rank
RB2 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±4 rank σ · 2 sources
Age / role
age 24 RB
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameLow confidence
Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → RB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
39%21%20%20%
- RB139%(4)
- RB221%(2)
- RB4+20%(2)
- Missed season20%(2)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season PPG range14.0 median
0.0p25–p75 7.5–20.821.5
10 most similar players
Breece Hall92%
2025RB23 · 13.0 PPG
Leonard Fournette89%
2018RB40 · 15.1 PPG
Saquon Barkley86%
2020Missed the season
Christian McCaffrey86%
2020Missed the season
Ezekiel Elliott85%
2019RB5 · 19.5 PPG
Kareem Hunt83%
2018RB12 · 20.9 PPG
+4 more analogs
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite carry shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs MarketIn line with market
Our view
99
Market
99
TD rebound upsideHigh draft pedigreeProducing above value
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Format Comparison
Jahmyr Gibbs — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 9,918 | — |
| PPR SF | 9,046 | -872 |